Trader consensus positions Aryna Sabalenka as the slim favorite at 26% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon title, driven by her ascent to WTA world No. 1, US Open victory, and powerful serve-return game that translates well to grass despite skipping the 2024 swing due to shoulder issues. Elena Rybakina trails closely at 18.5%, bolstered by her 2022 Wimbledon triumph, semi-final run last year, and dominant serving on the surface, while Iga Świątek's 16.3% reflects her relentless top-spin baseline play and recent grass improvements despite historical quarterfinal ceilings. The bunched top tier underscores grass-court volatility—big servers thrive amid low bounces and quick points—compounded by Barbora Krejčíková's 2024 upset win, rising juniors like Victoria Mboko, and two-year horizon risks including injuries, form shifts, and surface adaptation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于阿丽娜·萨巴伦卡 26%
伊加·斯维亚泰克 16.3%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜 14%
维多利亚·姆博科 6.7%
$2,478,288 交易量
$2,478,288 交易量
阿丽娜·萨巴伦卡
26%
伊加·斯维亚泰克
16%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜
19%
维多利亚·姆博科
7%
可可·高芙
5%
阿曼达·阿尼西莫娃
3%
米拉·安德列娃
3%
叶卡捷琳娜·亚历山德罗娃
2%
艾玛·拉杜卡努
2%
卡罗丽娜·穆霍娃
2%
贝琳达·本契奇
2%
王欣瑜
2%
尤利娅·普丁采娃
1%
葆拉·巴多萨
1%
杰西卡·佩古拉
1%
塔蒂亚娜·玛丽亚
1%
柳德米拉·萨姆索诺娃
1%
唐娜·维基
1%
索奈·卡塔尔
1%
安娜·卡林斯卡娅
1%
安娜斯塔西娅·帕夫柳琴科娃
1%
克拉拉·陶森
1%
贾斯敏·保利尼
1%
埃莉娜·斯维托丽娜
1%
莱拉·费尔南德斯
1%
麦迪逊·凯斯
1%
艾玛·纳瓦罗
1%
琳达·诺斯科娃
1%
大坂直美
1%
叶莲娜·奥斯塔彭科
1%
玛丽·布兹科娃
1%
郑钦文
1%
玛丽亚·萨卡里
1%
马克塔·冯德劳索娃
<1%
玛尔塔·科斯秋克
<1%
奥尔加·达尼洛维奇
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
麦卡特尼·凯斯勒
<1%
巴博拉·克雷吉茨科娃
<1%
埃莉丝·梅尔滕斯
<1%
戴安娜·什奈德
<1%
达亚娜·雅斯特雷姆斯卡
<1%
劳拉·西格蒙德
<1%
阿什琳·克鲁格
<1%
昂丝·贾布尔
<1%
索拉娜·谢拉
<1%
比阿特丽兹·阿达德·玛雅
<1%
阿丽娜·萨巴伦卡 26%
伊加·斯维亚泰克 16.3%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜 14%
维多利亚·姆博科 6.7%
$2,478,288 交易量
$2,478,288 交易量
阿丽娜·萨巴伦卡
26%
伊加·斯维亚泰克
16%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜
19%
维多利亚·姆博科
7%
可可·高芙
5%
阿曼达·阿尼西莫娃
3%
米拉·安德列娃
3%
叶卡捷琳娜·亚历山德罗娃
2%
艾玛·拉杜卡努
2%
卡罗丽娜·穆霍娃
2%
贝琳达·本契奇
2%
王欣瑜
2%
尤利娅·普丁采娃
1%
葆拉·巴多萨
1%
杰西卡·佩古拉
1%
塔蒂亚娜·玛丽亚
1%
柳德米拉·萨姆索诺娃
1%
唐娜·维基
1%
索奈·卡塔尔
1%
安娜·卡林斯卡娅
1%
安娜斯塔西娅·帕夫柳琴科娃
1%
克拉拉·陶森
1%
贾斯敏·保利尼
1%
埃莉娜·斯维托丽娜
1%
莱拉·费尔南德斯
1%
麦迪逊·凯斯
1%
艾玛·纳瓦罗
1%
琳达·诺斯科娃
1%
大坂直美
1%
叶莲娜·奥斯塔彭科
1%
玛丽·布兹科娃
1%
郑钦文
1%
玛丽亚·萨卡里
1%
马克塔·冯德劳索娃
<1%
玛尔塔·科斯秋克
<1%
奥尔加·达尼洛维奇
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
麦卡特尼·凯斯勒
<1%
巴博拉·克雷吉茨科娃
<1%
埃莉丝·梅尔滕斯
<1%
戴安娜·什奈德
<1%
达亚娜·雅斯特雷姆斯卡
<1%
劳拉·西格蒙德
<1%
阿什琳·克鲁格
<1%
昂丝·贾布尔
<1%
索拉娜·谢拉
<1%
比阿特丽兹·阿达德·玛雅
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Aryna Sabalenka as the slim favorite at 26% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon title, driven by her ascent to WTA world No. 1, US Open victory, and powerful serve-return game that translates well to grass despite skipping the 2024 swing due to shoulder issues. Elena Rybakina trails closely at 18.5%, bolstered by her 2022 Wimbledon triumph, semi-final run last year, and dominant serving on the surface, while Iga Świątek's 16.3% reflects her relentless top-spin baseline play and recent grass improvements despite historical quarterfinal ceilings. The bunched top tier underscores grass-court volatility—big servers thrive amid low bounces and quick points—compounded by Barbora Krejčíková's 2024 upset win, rising juniors like Victoria Mboko, and two-year horizon risks including injuries, form shifts, and surface adaptation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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