Trader consensus favors world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka at 25.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon title, driven by her dominant hard court form this year—including Brisbane and Indian Wells WTA 1000 titles plus an Australian Open final—showcasing a WTA-leading 87% hold rate and just one loss through mid-March. Elena Rybakina (16%) leverages her 2022 Wimbledon triumph and flat-hitting grass prowess, bolstered by her Australian Open 2026 win, though a recent Indian Wells final defeat to Sabalenka tempers enthusiasm. Iga Świątek (16.3%), the 2025 grass breakthrough champion, sits third amid a form dip and coaching change, dropping to No. 3 in rankings. Rising star Victoria Mboko (8.5%) earns notice via top-10 surge and Miami deep run, but lacks grass-court testing in a wide-open field defined by surface transitions and injury uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于阿丽娜·萨巴伦卡 26%
伊加·斯维亚泰克 16.3%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜 16%
维多利亚·姆博科 8.5%
$3,513,531 交易量
$3,513,531 交易量
阿丽娜·萨巴伦卡
26%
伊加·斯维亚泰克
16%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜
16%
维多利亚·姆博科
9%
可可·高芙
5%
米拉·安德列娃
4%
阿曼达·阿尼西莫娃
3%
克拉拉·陶森
3%
杰西卡·佩古拉
2%
艾玛·拉杜卡努
2%
卡罗丽娜·穆霍娃
2%
贝琳达·本契奇
2%
王欣瑜
1%
昂丝·贾布尔
1%
葆拉·巴多萨
1%
叶卡捷琳娜·亚历山德罗娃
1%
塔蒂亚娜·玛丽亚
1%
柳德米拉·萨姆索诺娃
1%
唐娜·维基
1%
索奈·卡塔尔
1%
尤利娅·普丁采娃
1%
安娜·卡林斯卡娅
1%
埃莉娜·斯维托丽娜
1%
安娜斯塔西娅·帕夫柳琴科娃
1%
贾斯敏·保利尼
1%
艾玛·纳瓦罗
1%
琳达·诺斯科娃
1%
莱拉·费尔南德斯
1%
麦迪逊·凯斯
1%
大坂直美
1%
叶莲娜·奥斯塔彭科
1%
郑钦文
1%
玛丽·布兹科娃
1%
马克塔·冯德劳索娃
<1%
玛尔塔·科斯秋克
<1%
玛丽亚·萨卡里
<1%
奥尔加·达尼洛维奇
<1%
麦卡特尼·凯斯勒
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
巴博拉·克雷吉茨科娃
<1%
埃莉丝·梅尔滕斯
<1%
戴安娜·什奈德
<1%
达亚娜·雅斯特雷姆斯卡
<1%
劳拉·西格蒙德
<1%
阿什琳·克鲁格
<1%
索拉娜·谢拉
<1%
比阿特丽兹·阿达德·玛雅
<1%
阿丽娜·萨巴伦卡 26%
伊加·斯维亚泰克 16.3%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜 16%
维多利亚·姆博科 8.5%
$3,513,531 交易量
$3,513,531 交易量
阿丽娜·萨巴伦卡
26%
伊加·斯维亚泰克
16%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜
16%
维多利亚·姆博科
9%
可可·高芙
5%
米拉·安德列娃
4%
阿曼达·阿尼西莫娃
3%
克拉拉·陶森
3%
杰西卡·佩古拉
2%
艾玛·拉杜卡努
2%
卡罗丽娜·穆霍娃
2%
贝琳达·本契奇
2%
王欣瑜
1%
昂丝·贾布尔
1%
葆拉·巴多萨
1%
叶卡捷琳娜·亚历山德罗娃
1%
塔蒂亚娜·玛丽亚
1%
柳德米拉·萨姆索诺娃
1%
唐娜·维基
1%
索奈·卡塔尔
1%
尤利娅·普丁采娃
1%
安娜·卡林斯卡娅
1%
埃莉娜·斯维托丽娜
1%
安娜斯塔西娅·帕夫柳琴科娃
1%
贾斯敏·保利尼
1%
艾玛·纳瓦罗
1%
琳达·诺斯科娃
1%
莱拉·费尔南德斯
1%
麦迪逊·凯斯
1%
大坂直美
1%
叶莲娜·奥斯塔彭科
1%
郑钦文
1%
玛丽·布兹科娃
1%
马克塔·冯德劳索娃
<1%
玛尔塔·科斯秋克
<1%
玛丽亚·萨卡里
<1%
奥尔加·达尼洛维奇
<1%
麦卡特尼·凯斯勒
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
巴博拉·克雷吉茨科娃
<1%
埃莉丝·梅尔滕斯
<1%
戴安娜·什奈德
<1%
达亚娜·雅斯特雷姆斯卡
<1%
劳拉·西格蒙德
<1%
阿什琳·克鲁格
<1%
索拉娜·谢拉
<1%
比阿特丽兹·阿达德·玛雅
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka at 25.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon title, driven by her dominant hard court form this year—including Brisbane and Indian Wells WTA 1000 titles plus an Australian Open final—showcasing a WTA-leading 87% hold rate and just one loss through mid-March. Elena Rybakina (16%) leverages her 2022 Wimbledon triumph and flat-hitting grass prowess, bolstered by her Australian Open 2026 win, though a recent Indian Wells final defeat to Sabalenka tempers enthusiasm. Iga Świątek (16.3%), the 2025 grass breakthrough champion, sits third amid a form dip and coaching change, dropping to No. 3 in rankings. Rising star Victoria Mboko (8.5%) earns notice via top-10 surge and Miami deep run, but lacks grass-court testing in a wide-open field defined by surface transitions and injury uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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