Aryna Sabalenka's commanding Sunshine Double run—claiming Indian Wells with a three-set epic over Elena Rybakina and advancing deep in Miami—has solidified her as world No. 1 and trader consensus leader at 25.5% implied probability for the 2026 Wimbledon title, her all-court power suiting grass. Rybakina (16.0%), the 2022 grass-court major champion with a second Australian Open crown this year, trails closely despite back-to-back final/semifinal losses to Sabalenka, her booming serve a key differentiator on fast turf. Defending champion Iga Świątek (16.5%) lags amid a 12-5 hard-court start with quarterfinal exits, testing her improved grass adaptation. Rising teen Victoria Mboko (8.3%), now No. 9 after Australian Open fourth-round breakthrough, offers upset potential but lacks proven major deep runs on grass in this wide-open field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于阿丽娜·萨巴伦卡 26%
伊加·斯维亚泰克 16.4%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜 16%
维多利亚·姆博科 8.3%
$3,797,059 交易量
$3,797,059 交易量
阿丽娜·萨巴伦卡
26%
伊加·斯维亚泰克
16%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜
16%
维多利亚·姆博科
8%
阿曼达·阿尼西莫娃
6%
可可·高芙
6%
米拉·安德列娃
4%
克拉拉·陶森
3%
卡罗丽娜·穆霍娃
2%
杰西卡·佩古拉
2%
艾玛·拉杜卡努
2%
贝琳达·本契奇
2%
叶卡捷琳娜·亚历山德罗娃
1%
王欣瑜
1%
葆拉·巴多萨
1%
塔蒂亚娜·玛丽亚
1%
柳德米拉·萨姆索诺娃
1%
安娜·卡林斯卡娅
1%
索奈·卡塔尔
1%
琳达·诺斯科娃
1%
唐娜·维基
1%
埃莉娜·斯维托丽娜
1%
贾斯敏·保利尼
1%
安娜斯塔西娅·帕夫柳琴科娃
1%
艾玛·纳瓦罗
1%
尤利娅·普丁采娃
1%
大坂直美
1%
莱拉·费尔南德斯
1%
埃莉丝·梅尔滕斯
1%
郑钦文
1%
叶莲娜·奥斯塔彭科
1%
麦迪逊·凯斯
1%
玛丽·布兹科娃
1%
马克塔·冯德劳索娃
<1%
玛尔塔·科斯秋克
<1%
玛丽亚·萨卡里
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
奥尔加·达尼洛维奇
<1%
麦卡特尼·凯斯勒
<1%
巴博拉·克雷吉茨科娃
<1%
昂丝·贾布尔
<1%
戴安娜·什奈德
<1%
索拉娜·谢拉
<1%
达亚娜·雅斯特雷姆斯卡
<1%
劳拉·西格蒙德
<1%
阿什琳·克鲁格
<1%
比阿特丽兹·阿达德·玛雅
<1%
阿丽娜·萨巴伦卡 26%
伊加·斯维亚泰克 16.4%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜 16%
维多利亚·姆博科 8.3%
$3,797,059 交易量
$3,797,059 交易量
阿丽娜·萨巴伦卡
26%
伊加·斯维亚泰克
16%
埃琳娜·莱巴金娜
16%
维多利亚·姆博科
8%
阿曼达·阿尼西莫娃
6%
可可·高芙
6%
米拉·安德列娃
4%
克拉拉·陶森
3%
卡罗丽娜·穆霍娃
2%
杰西卡·佩古拉
2%
艾玛·拉杜卡努
2%
贝琳达·本契奇
2%
叶卡捷琳娜·亚历山德罗娃
1%
王欣瑜
1%
葆拉·巴多萨
1%
塔蒂亚娜·玛丽亚
1%
柳德米拉·萨姆索诺娃
1%
安娜·卡林斯卡娅
1%
索奈·卡塔尔
1%
琳达·诺斯科娃
1%
唐娜·维基
1%
埃莉娜·斯维托丽娜
1%
贾斯敏·保利尼
1%
安娜斯塔西娅·帕夫柳琴科娃
1%
艾玛·纳瓦罗
1%
尤利娅·普丁采娃
1%
大坂直美
1%
莱拉·费尔南德斯
1%
埃莉丝·梅尔滕斯
1%
郑钦文
1%
叶莲娜·奥斯塔彭科
1%
麦迪逊·凯斯
1%
玛丽·布兹科娃
1%
马克塔·冯德劳索娃
<1%
玛尔塔·科斯秋克
<1%
玛丽亚·萨卡里
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
奥尔加·达尼洛维奇
<1%
麦卡特尼·凯斯勒
<1%
巴博拉·克雷吉茨科娃
<1%
昂丝·贾布尔
<1%
戴安娜·什奈德
<1%
索拉娜·谢拉
<1%
达亚娜·雅斯特雷姆斯卡
<1%
劳拉·西格蒙德
<1%
阿什琳·克鲁格
<1%
比阿特丽兹·阿达德·玛雅
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka's commanding Sunshine Double run—claiming Indian Wells with a three-set epic over Elena Rybakina and advancing deep in Miami—has solidified her as world No. 1 and trader consensus leader at 25.5% implied probability for the 2026 Wimbledon title, her all-court power suiting grass. Rybakina (16.0%), the 2022 grass-court major champion with a second Australian Open crown this year, trails closely despite back-to-back final/semifinal losses to Sabalenka, her booming serve a key differentiator on fast turf. Defending champion Iga Świątek (16.5%) lags amid a 12-5 hard-court start with quarterfinal exits, testing her improved grass adaptation. Rising teen Victoria Mboko (8.3%), now No. 9 after Australian Open fourth-round breakthrough, offers upset potential but lacks proven major deep runs on grass in this wide-open field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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