Jannik Sinner's dominant Sunshine Double—claiming Indian Wells over Daniil Medvedev and Miami over Jiri Lehecka without dropping a set—has propelled his implied probability to 35% for the hard-court US Open, matching the surface prowess that saw Carlos Alcaraz capture the Australian Open title against Novak Djokovic to complete his career Grand Slam. As ATP No. 1 and No. 2, their recent hard-court mastery keeps trader consensus tightly bunched at 38%-35%, with Alcaraz's early Miami exit to Sebastian Korda tempering momentum while Sinner's unbeaten run underscores his baseline grinding edge. Lehecka's breakthrough Miami final elevates him to 6.9%, signaling rising threat amid Djokovic's withdrawals and schedule management at age 39.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 38%
扬尼克·辛纳 35%
伊里·莱赫卡 6.9%
阿瑟·菲尔斯 4.3%
$1,019,827 交易量
$1,019,827 交易量
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
38%
扬尼克·辛纳
35%
伊里·莱赫卡
7%
阿瑟·菲尔斯
4%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇
3%
亚历山大·兹维列夫
3%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
3%
洛伦佐·穆塞蒂
2%
若昂·丰塞卡
2%
雅库布·门西克
2%
杰克·德雷珀
1%
本·谢尔顿
1%
亚历山大·布勃利克
1%
泰勒·弗里茨
1%
菲利克斯·奥热-阿利亚西姆
1%
休伯特·胡尔卡奇
1%
格里戈尔·迪米特洛夫
1%
霍尔格·鲁内
<1%
安德烈·鲁布列夫
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
<1%
马泰奥·贝雷蒂尼
<1%
弗拉维奥·科博利
<1%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 38%
扬尼克·辛纳 35%
伊里·莱赫卡 6.9%
阿瑟·菲尔斯 4.3%
$1,019,827 交易量
$1,019,827 交易量
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
38%
扬尼克·辛纳
35%
伊里·莱赫卡
7%
阿瑟·菲尔斯
4%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇
3%
亚历山大·兹维列夫
3%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
3%
洛伦佐·穆塞蒂
2%
若昂·丰塞卡
2%
雅库布·门西克
2%
杰克·德雷珀
1%
本·谢尔顿
1%
亚历山大·布勃利克
1%
泰勒·弗里茨
1%
菲利克斯·奥热-阿利亚西姆
1%
休伯特·胡尔卡奇
1%
格里戈尔·迪米特洛夫
1%
霍尔格·鲁内
<1%
安德烈·鲁布列夫
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
<1%
马泰奥·贝雷蒂尼
<1%
弗拉维奥·科博利
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's dominant Sunshine Double—claiming Indian Wells over Daniil Medvedev and Miami over Jiri Lehecka without dropping a set—has propelled his implied probability to 35% for the hard-court US Open, matching the surface prowess that saw Carlos Alcaraz capture the Australian Open title against Novak Djokovic to complete his career Grand Slam. As ATP No. 1 and No. 2, their recent hard-court mastery keeps trader consensus tightly bunched at 38%-35%, with Alcaraz's early Miami exit to Sebastian Korda tempering momentum while Sinner's unbeaten run underscores his baseline grinding edge. Lehecka's breakthrough Miami final elevates him to 6.9%, signaling rising threat amid Djokovic's withdrawals and schedule management at age 39.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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