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体育·足球

2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？

Market icon
体育·足球

2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？

$1,488,334 交易量

Apr 12, 2026
Polymarket

$1,488,334 交易量

Polymarket

意大利

$329,746 交易量

77%

刚果民主共和国

$4,275 交易量

71%

土耳其

$98,587 交易量

68%

瑞典

$143,426 交易量

64%

分组项标题：丹麦

$37,913 交易量

62%

伊拉克

$2,904 交易量

52%

玻利维亚

$6,622 交易量

48%

捷克共和国

$26,701 交易量

38%

波兰

$491,867 交易量

37%

牙买加

$1,977 交易量

35%

科索沃

$8,284 交易量

34%

分组项标题：波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那

$5,441 交易量

25%

This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).With 42 nations already secured for the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup—including hosts USA, Canada, Mexico alongside Argentina, Brazil, France, England, and first-timers like Curaçao and Cape Verde—trader consensus hinges on the final six spots via play-off finals on March 31. March 26 semi-finals delivered drama: UEFA saw Bosnia and Herzegovina oust Wales 4-2 on penalties, Czech Republic eliminate Republic of Ireland 4-3 on pens, Italy dispatch Northern Ireland 2-0, and Denmark crush North Macedonia 4-0, while inter-confederation clashes featured Jamaica's 1-0 win over New Caledonia and Bolivia's 2-1 triumph against Suriname. Key finals pit Bosnia vs Italy, Czechia vs Denmark, Sweden vs Poland, and Kosovo vs Turkey for Europe's four berths, plus Jamaica vs DR Congo and Bolivia vs Iraq for two more, where playoff momentum, penalty resilience, and squad depth will prove decisive amid high upset potential.

With 42 nations already secured for the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup—including hosts USA, Canada, Mexico alongside Argentina, Brazil, France, England, and first-timers like Curaçao and Cape Verde—trader consensus hinges on the final six spots via play-off finals on March 31. March 26 semi-finals delivered drama: UEFA saw Bosnia and Herzegovina oust Wales 4-2 on penalties, Czech Republic eliminate Republic of Ireland 4-3 on pens, Italy dispatch Northern Ireland 2-0, and Denmark crush North Macedonia 4-0, while inter-confederation clashes featured Jamaica's 1-0 win over New Caledonia and Bolivia's 2-1 triumph against Suriname. Key finals pit Bosnia vs Italy, Czechia vs Denmark, Sweden vs Poland, and Kosovo vs Turkey for Europe's four berths, plus Jamaica vs DR Congo and Bolivia vs Iraq for two more, where playoff momentum, penalty resilience, and squad depth will prove decisive amid high upset potential.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).With 42 nations already secured for the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup—including hosts USA, Canada, Mexico alongside Argentina, Brazil, France, England, and first-timers like Curaçao and Cape Verde—trader consensus hinges on the final six spots via play-off finals on March 31. March 26 semi-finals delivered drama: UEFA saw Bosnia and Herzegovina oust Wales 4-2 on penalties, Czech Republic eliminate Republic of Ireland 4-3 on pens, Italy dispatch Northern Ireland 2-0, and Denmark crush North Macedonia 4-0, while inter-confederation clashes featured Jamaica's 1-0 win over New Caledonia and Bolivia's 2-1 triumph against Suriname. Key finals pit Bosnia vs Italy, Czechia vs Denmark, Sweden vs Poland, and Kosovo vs Turkey for Europe's four berths, plus Jamaica vs DR Congo and Bolivia vs Iraq for two more, where playoff momentum, penalty resilience, and squad depth will prove decisive amid high upset potential.

With 42 nations already secured for the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup—including hosts USA, Canada, Mexico alongside Argentina, Brazil, France, England, and first-timers like Curaçao and Cape Verde—trader consensus hinges on the final six spots via play-off finals on March 31. March 26 semi-finals delivered drama: UEFA saw Bosnia and Herzegovina oust Wales 4-2 on penalties, Czech Republic eliminate Republic of Ireland 4-3 on pens, Italy dispatch Northern Ireland 2-0, and Denmark crush North Macedonia 4-0, while inter-confederation clashes featured Jamaica's 1-0 win over New Caledonia and Bolivia's 2-1 triumph against Suriname. Key finals pit Bosnia vs Italy, Czechia vs Denmark, Sweden vs Poland, and Kosovo vs Turkey for Europe's four berths, plus Jamaica vs DR Congo and Bolivia vs Iraq for two more, where playoff momentum, penalty resilience, and squad depth will prove decisive amid high upset potential.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 33 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"荷兰"，概率为 100%，其次是"比利时"，概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？"已产生 $1.5 million 的总交易量（自Jun 9, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 33 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？"的当前领先者是"荷兰"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"比利时"，概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。