Mercedes' dominant start to the 2026 Formula 1 season under new regulations has propelled teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli to the top of trader consensus for the Drivers' Championship, with Russell's 45.5% implied probability reflecting his unflinching consistency—P1 or P2 in every Grand Prix, sprint, and qualifying session so far—edging out Antonelli's 32.8% despite the Italian rookie's recent surge. Russell claimed victory in the Australian Grand Prix opener on March 8, leading a Silver Arrows 1-2 ahead of Antonelli, who responded with a commanding win from pole at the Chinese Grand Prix on March 15, ignoring a team order and vaulting to the top of the standings with 72 points to Russell's 63. The Japanese Grand Prix on March 29 saw Antonelli extend his lead while Russell missed the podium, yet traders favor the Briton's experience and racecraft in what shapes as an intra-team title showdown, leaving Ferrari's Charles Leclerc (5.7%) and others trailing amid Mercedes' superior power unit and aero package.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于分组项标题:乔治·罗素 46%
基米·安托内利 32.8%
夏尔·勒克莱尔 5.7%
奥斯卡·皮亚斯特里 3.3%
$69,136,909 交易量
$69,136,909 交易量
分组项标题:乔治·罗素
46%
基米·安托内利
33%
夏尔·勒克莱尔
6%
奥斯卡·皮亚斯特里
3%
路易斯·汉密尔顿
3%
马克斯·维斯塔潘
3%
兰多·诺里斯
2%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
分组项标题:尼科·胡尔肯贝格
<1%
塞尔吉奥·佩雷斯
<1%
兰斯·斯特罗尔
<1%
加布里埃尔·博托莱托
<1%
费尔南多·阿隆索
<1%
皮埃尔·加斯利
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
阿维德·林德布拉德
<1%
分组项标题:卡洛斯·塞恩斯 Jr.
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
奥利弗·贝尔曼
<1%
弗兰科·科拉平托
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
瓦尔特里·博塔斯
<1%
分组项标题:乔治·罗素 46%
基米·安托内利 32.8%
夏尔·勒克莱尔 5.7%
奥斯卡·皮亚斯特里 3.3%
$69,136,909 交易量
$69,136,909 交易量
分组项标题:乔治·罗素
46%
基米·安托内利
33%
夏尔·勒克莱尔
6%
奥斯卡·皮亚斯特里
3%
路易斯·汉密尔顿
3%
马克斯·维斯塔潘
3%
兰多·诺里斯
2%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
分组项标题:尼科·胡尔肯贝格
<1%
塞尔吉奥·佩雷斯
<1%
兰斯·斯特罗尔
<1%
加布里埃尔·博托莱托
<1%
费尔南多·阿隆索
<1%
皮埃尔·加斯利
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
阿维德·林德布拉德
<1%
分组项标题:卡洛斯·塞恩斯 Jr.
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
奥利弗·贝尔曼
<1%
弗兰科·科拉平托
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
瓦尔特里·博塔斯
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
市场开放时间: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' dominant start to the 2026 Formula 1 season under new regulations has propelled teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli to the top of trader consensus for the Drivers' Championship, with Russell's 45.5% implied probability reflecting his unflinching consistency—P1 or P2 in every Grand Prix, sprint, and qualifying session so far—edging out Antonelli's 32.8% despite the Italian rookie's recent surge. Russell claimed victory in the Australian Grand Prix opener on March 8, leading a Silver Arrows 1-2 ahead of Antonelli, who responded with a commanding win from pole at the Chinese Grand Prix on March 15, ignoring a team order and vaulting to the top of the standings with 72 points to Russell's 63. The Japanese Grand Prix on March 29 saw Antonelli extend his lead while Russell missed the podium, yet traders favor the Briton's experience and racecraft in what shapes as an intra-team title showdown, leaving Ferrari's Charles Leclerc (5.7%) and others trailing amid Mercedes' superior power unit and aero package.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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