Macro dashboard | Polymarket

仪表板

选举

初选

宏观

美联储利率

特朗普

中期选举

财报

体育

奥斯卡

宏观仪表板

US recession by end of 2026?

15% 概率

经济

Fed rate hike in 2026?

33%

概率

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

13%

概率

关键选举

5月

Colombia

Presidential

87%
Abelardo de la Espriella
12%
Iván Cepeda Castro
<1%
Vicky Dávila (IND)
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

10月

Brazil

Presidential

52%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
25%
Flávio Bolsonaro
15%
Renan Santos
2%
Ronaldo Caiado

地缘政治

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

概率

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

25%

概率

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

18%

概率

宏观仪表板

US recession by end of 2026?

15% 概率

经济

Fed rate hike in 2026?

33%

概率

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

13%

概率

关键选举

5月

Colombia

Presidential

87%
Abelardo de la Espriella
12%
Iván Cepeda Castro
<1%
Vicky Dávila (IND)
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

10月

Brazil

Presidential

52%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
25%
Flávio Bolsonaro
15%
Renan Santos
2%
Ronaldo Caiado

地缘政治

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

概率

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

25%

概率

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

18%

概率