buur

加入时间 9月 2025·10 浏览量

grinding away

$467.64

持仓价值

$124.18

最高赢利

315

预测

盈亏

-$12.98

过去 24 小时

当前

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 30.3¢

320.0 份额

30.3¢

18¢

$57.60-$39.40 (-40.62%)

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 30.3¢

320.0 份额

$57.60-$39.40 (-40.62%)

Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 70¢

100.0 份额

70¢

43¢

$43.00-$27.00 (-38.57%)

Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 70¢

100.0 份额

$43.00-$27.00 (-38.57%)

Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?

No 75¢

50.0 份额

75¢

66.5¢

$33.25-$4.25 (-11.33%)

Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?

No 75¢

50.0 份额

$33.25-$4.25 (-11.33%)

Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

No 31.5¢

100.0 份额

31.5¢

28.5¢

$28.49-$3.01 (-9.56%)

Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

No 31.5¢

100.0 份额

$28.49-$3.01 (-9.56%)

Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?

Yes 69¢

50.0 份额

69¢

56¢

$28.00-$6.50 (-18.84%)

Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?

Yes 69¢

50.0 份额

$28.00-$6.50 (-18.84%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 80.8¢

40.0 份额

80.8¢

64.6¢

$25.82-$6.50 (-20.11%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 80.8¢

40.0 份额

$25.82-$6.50 (-20.11%)

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 47.7¢

40.0 份额

47.7¢

48.9¢

$19.56$0.50 (2.62%)

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 47.7¢

40.0 份额

$19.56$0.50 (2.62%)

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

No 96.2¢

20.0 份额

96.2¢

89.2¢

$17.84-$1.40 (-7.28%)

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

No 96.2¢

20.0 份额

$17.84-$1.40 (-7.28%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 68.1¢

50.0 份额

68.1¢

33.4¢

$16.70-$17.35 (-50.95%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 68.1¢

50.0 份额

$16.70-$17.35 (-50.95%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by April 30, 2026?

Yes 78¢

20.0 份额

78¢

78.5¢

$15.70$0.10 (0.64%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by April 30, 2026?

Yes 78¢

20.0 份额

$15.70$0.10 (0.64%)

Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?

No 86¢

50.0 份额

86¢

30.5¢

$15.25-$27.75 (-64.53%)

Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?

No 86¢

50.0 份额

$15.25-$27.75 (-64.53%)

Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Yes 22.5¢

25.9 份额

22.5¢

49¢

$12.68$6.86 (117.9%)

Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Yes 22.5¢

25.9 份额

$12.68$6.86 (117.9%)

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes 16.6¢

150.9 份额

16.6¢

7.5¢

$11.32-$13.68 (-54.73%)

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes 16.6¢

150.9 份额

$11.32-$13.68 (-54.73%)

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 76.7¢

20.0 份额

76.7¢

55.9¢

$11.17-$4.17 (-27.18%)

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 76.7¢

20.0 份额

$11.17-$4.17 (-27.18%)

Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Yes 15.1¢

73.7 份额

15.1¢

12¢

$8.84-$2.29 (-20.59%)

Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Yes 15.1¢

73.7 份额

$8.84-$2.29 (-20.59%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Yes 18¢

100.0 份额

18¢

8.5¢

$8.50-$9.50 (-52.78%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Yes 18¢

100.0 份额

$8.50-$9.50 (-52.78%)

Will "Knife" be said 5+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?

Yes 40¢

18.3 份额

40¢

44.5¢

$8.16$0.82 (11.25%)

Will "Knife" be said 5+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?

Yes 40¢

18.3 份额

$8.16$0.82 (11.25%)

Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?

No 35¢

20.0 份额

35¢

36¢

$7.20$0.20 (2.86%)

Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?

No 35¢

20.0 份额

$7.20$0.20 (2.86%)

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

No 90¢

20.0 份额

90¢

35.5¢

$7.10-$10.90 (-60.56%)

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

No 90¢

20.0 份额

$7.10-$10.90 (-60.56%)

Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?

No 87¢

20.0 份额

87¢

32.5¢

$6.50-$10.90 (-62.64%)

Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?

No 87¢

20.0 份额

$6.50-$10.90 (-62.64%)

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?

Yes 60¢

20.0 份额

60¢

30¢

$6.00-$6.00 (-50%)

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?

Yes 60¢

20.0 份额

$6.00-$6.00 (-50%)

Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?

Yes 47¢

20.0 份额

47¢

29.5¢

$5.90-$3.50 (-37.23%)

Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?

Yes 47¢

20.0 份额

$5.90-$3.50 (-37.23%)

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-05 House seat?

Yes 13¢

50.0 份额

13¢

11¢

$5.50-$1.00 (-15.38%)

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-05 House seat?

Yes 13¢

50.0 份额

$5.50-$1.00 (-15.38%)

Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 20¢

90.0 份额

20¢

5.5¢

$4.95-$13.05 (-72.5%)

Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 20¢

90.0 份额

$4.95-$13.05 (-72.5%)

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?

Yes 13¢

50.0 份额

13¢

9¢

$4.50-$2.00 (-30.77%)

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?

Yes 13¢

50.0 份额

$4.50-$2.00 (-30.77%)

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?

Yes 29¢

20.0 份额

29¢

20¢

$4.00-$1.80 (-31.03%)

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?

Yes 29¢

20.0 份额

$4.00-$1.80 (-31.03%)

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Yes 43¢

20.0 份额

43¢

19.5¢

$3.90-$4.70 (-54.65%)

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Yes 43¢

20.0 份额

$3.90-$4.70 (-54.65%)

Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day?

Yes 18¢

20.0 份额

18¢

18.5¢

$3.70$0.10 (2.78%)

Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day?

Yes 18¢

20.0 份额

$3.70$0.10 (2.78%)

Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $50M and $55M at market close on IPO day?

Yes 7.5¢

40.0 份额

7.5¢

$3.00$0.00 (0%)

Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $50M and $55M at market close on IPO day?

Yes 7.5¢

40.0 份额

$3.00$0.00 (0%)

Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Yes 15.5¢

40.0 份额

15.5¢

7¢

$2.80-$3.40 (-54.84%)

Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Yes 15.5¢

40.0 份额

$2.80-$3.40 (-54.84%)

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 30.3¢

320.0 份额

30.3¢

18¢

$57.60-$39.40 (-40.62%)

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 30.3¢

320.0 份额

$57.60-$39.40 (-40.62%)

Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 70¢

100.0 份额

70¢

43¢

$43.00-$27.00 (-38.57%)

Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 70¢

100.0 份额

$43.00-$27.00 (-38.57%)

Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?

No 75¢

50.0 份额

75¢

66.5¢

$33.25-$4.25 (-11.33%)

Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?

No 75¢

50.0 份额

$33.25-$4.25 (-11.33%)

Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

No 31.5¢

100.0 份额

31.5¢

28.5¢

$28.49-$3.01 (-9.56%)

Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

No 31.5¢

100.0 份额

$28.49-$3.01 (-9.56%)

Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?

Yes 69¢

50.0 份额

69¢

56¢

$28.00-$6.50 (-18.84%)

Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?

Yes 69¢

50.0 份额

$28.00-$6.50 (-18.84%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 80.8¢

40.0 份额

80.8¢

64.6¢

$25.82-$6.50 (-20.11%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 80.8¢

40.0 份额

$25.82-$6.50 (-20.11%)

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 47.7¢

40.0 份额

47.7¢

48.9¢

$19.56$0.50 (2.62%)

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 47.7¢

40.0 份额

$19.56$0.50 (2.62%)

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

No 96.2¢

20.0 份额

96.2¢

89.2¢

$17.84-$1.40 (-7.28%)

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

No 96.2¢

20.0 份额

$17.84-$1.40 (-7.28%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 68.1¢

50.0 份额

68.1¢

33.4¢

$16.70-$17.35 (-50.95%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 68.1¢

50.0 份额

$16.70-$17.35 (-50.95%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by April 30, 2026?

Yes 78¢

20.0 份额

78¢

78.5¢

$15.70$0.10 (0.64%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by April 30, 2026?

Yes 78¢

20.0 份额

$15.70$0.10 (0.64%)

Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?

No 86¢

50.0 份额

86¢

30.5¢

$15.25-$27.75 (-64.53%)

Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?

No 86¢

50.0 份额

$15.25-$27.75 (-64.53%)

Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Yes 22.5¢

25.9 份额

22.5¢

49¢

$12.68$6.86 (117.9%)

Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Yes 22.5¢

25.9 份额

$12.68$6.86 (117.9%)

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes 16.6¢

150.9 份额

16.6¢

7.5¢

$11.32-$13.68 (-54.73%)

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes 16.6¢

150.9 份额

$11.32-$13.68 (-54.73%)

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 76.7¢

20.0 份额

76.7¢

55.9¢

$11.17-$4.17 (-27.18%)

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 76.7¢

20.0 份额

$11.17-$4.17 (-27.18%)

Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Yes 15.1¢

73.7 份额

15.1¢

12¢

$8.84-$2.29 (-20.59%)

Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Yes 15.1¢

73.7 份额

$8.84-$2.29 (-20.59%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Yes 18¢

100.0 份额

18¢

8.5¢

$8.50-$9.50 (-52.78%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Yes 18¢

100.0 份额

$8.50-$9.50 (-52.78%)

Will "Knife" be said 5+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?

Yes 40¢

18.3 份额

40¢

44.5¢

$8.16$0.82 (11.25%)

Will "Knife" be said 5+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?

Yes 40¢

18.3 份额

$8.16$0.82 (11.25%)

Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?

No 35¢

20.0 份额

35¢

36¢

$7.20$0.20 (2.86%)

Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?

No 35¢

20.0 份额

$7.20$0.20 (2.86%)

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

No 90¢

20.0 份额

90¢

35.5¢

$7.10-$10.90 (-60.56%)

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

No 90¢

20.0 份额

$7.10-$10.90 (-60.56%)

Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?

No 87¢

20.0 份额

87¢

32.5¢

$6.50-$10.90 (-62.64%)

Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?

No 87¢

20.0 份额

$6.50-$10.90 (-62.64%)

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?

Yes 60¢

20.0 份额

60¢

30¢

$6.00-$6.00 (-50%)

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?

Yes 60¢

20.0 份额

$6.00-$6.00 (-50%)

Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?

Yes 47¢

20.0 份额

47¢

29.5¢

$5.90-$3.50 (-37.23%)

Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?

Yes 47¢

20.0 份额

$5.90-$3.50 (-37.23%)

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-05 House seat?

Yes 13¢

50.0 份额

13¢

11¢

$5.50-$1.00 (-15.38%)

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-05 House seat?

Yes 13¢

50.0 份额

$5.50-$1.00 (-15.38%)

Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 20¢

90.0 份额

20¢

5.5¢

$4.95-$13.05 (-72.5%)

Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 20¢

90.0 份额

$4.95-$13.05 (-72.5%)

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?

Yes 13¢

50.0 份额

13¢

9¢

$4.50-$2.00 (-30.77%)

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?

Yes 13¢

50.0 份额

$4.50-$2.00 (-30.77%)

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?

Yes 29¢

20.0 份额

29¢

20¢

$4.00-$1.80 (-31.03%)

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?

Yes 29¢

20.0 份额

$4.00-$1.80 (-31.03%)

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Yes 43¢

20.0 份额

43¢

19.5¢

$3.90-$4.70 (-54.65%)

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Yes 43¢

20.0 份额

$3.90-$4.70 (-54.65%)

Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day?

Yes 18¢

20.0 份额

18¢

18.5¢

$3.70$0.10 (2.78%)

Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day?

Yes 18¢

20.0 份额

$3.70$0.10 (2.78%)

Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $50M and $55M at market close on IPO day?

Yes 7.5¢

40.0 份额

7.5¢

$3.00$0.00 (0%)

Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $50M and $55M at market close on IPO day?

Yes 7.5¢

40.0 份额

$3.00$0.00 (0%)

Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Yes 15.5¢

40.0 份额

15.5¢

7¢

$2.80-$3.40 (-54.84%)

Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Yes 15.5¢

40.0 份额

$2.80-$3.40 (-54.84%)