Trader consensus prices "No" at 93% for the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital and its metropolitan areas—Khartoum, Omdurman, and Bahri—since recapturing them in March 2025, with the government formally returning on January 11, 2026. SAF has consolidated defenses through advances like breaking the RSF siege of Dilling in late January and recapturing Kadugli in early February, securing key supply routes to the center. While RSF seized Kurmuk in Blue Nile on March 24 to bolster southern supply lines toward the Nile Valley, it faces repelled assaults in Kordofan, drone warfare attrition, and UN sanctions on its leaders, limiting breakthroughs against entrenched SAF positions before the deadline. Late escalations or external aid shifts could alter dynamics, though traders see high barriers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$16,159 交易量
$16,159 交易量
2026-06-30
$16,159 交易量
$16,159 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93% for the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital and its metropolitan areas—Khartoum, Omdurman, and Bahri—since recapturing them in March 2025, with the government formally returning on January 11, 2026. SAF has consolidated defenses through advances like breaking the RSF siege of Dilling in late January and recapturing Kadugli in early February, securing key supply routes to the center. While RSF seized Kurmuk in Blue Nile on March 24 to bolster southern supply lines toward the Nile Valley, it faces repelled assaults in Kordofan, drone warfare attrition, and UN sanctions on its leaders, limiting breakthroughs against entrenched SAF positions before the deadline. Late escalations or external aid shifts could alter dynamics, though traders see high barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
交易量
$16,159結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93% for the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital and its metropolitan areas—Khartoum, Omdurman, and Bahri—since recapturing them in March 2025, with the government formally returning on January 11, 2026. SAF has consolidated defenses through advances like breaking the RSF siege of Dilling in late January and recapturing Kadugli in early February, securing key supply routes to the center. While RSF seized Kurmuk in Blue Nile on March 24 to bolster southern supply lines toward the Nile Valley, it faces repelled assaults in Kordofan, drone warfare attrition, and UN sanctions on its leaders, limiting breakthroughs against entrenched SAF positions before the deadline. Late escalations or external aid shifts could alter dynamics, though traders see high barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
交易量
$16,159結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93% for the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital and its metropolitan areas—Khartoum, Omdurman, and Bahri—since recapturing them in March 2025, with the government formally returning on January 11, 2026. SAF has consolidated defenses through advances like breaking the RSF siege of Dilling in late January and recapturing Kadugli in early February, securing key supply routes to the center. While RSF seized Kurmuk in Blue Nile on March 24 to bolster southern supply lines toward the Nile Valley, it faces repelled assaults in Kordofan, drone warfare attrition, and UN sanctions on its leaders, limiting breakthroughs against entrenched SAF positions before the deadline. Late escalations or external aid shifts could alter dynamics, though traders see high barriers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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