Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5¢ on Israel annexing Gaza territory by June 30, reflecting no official government proposals, Knesset legislation, or Netanyahu statements committing to formal sovereignty claims amid stalled disarmament talks. Recent Haaretz reporting from March 26 revealed IDF entrenchment along Gaza's Yellow Line with 32 outposts and 10 miles of barriers since the October 2025 ceasefire under the Gaza peace plan, establishing a defensive buffer zone rather than annexation. Hamas insists on Israeli withdrawal guarantees before disarmament, as conveyed to mediators on April 2, preserving military status quo without political incorporation. Demographic challenges from Gaza's population, West Bank-focused settlement expansions, and international condemnation further deter action; abrupt shifts like ceasefire collapse or far-right policy pivot could alter odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$84,086 交易量
$84,086 交易量
是
$84,086 交易量
$84,086 交易量
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Oct 15, 2025, 5:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5¢ on Israel annexing Gaza territory by June 30, reflecting no official government proposals, Knesset legislation, or Netanyahu statements committing to formal sovereignty claims amid stalled disarmament talks. Recent Haaretz reporting from March 26 revealed IDF entrenchment along Gaza's Yellow Line with 32 outposts and 10 miles of barriers since the October 2025 ceasefire under the Gaza peace plan, establishing a defensive buffer zone rather than annexation. Hamas insists on Israeli withdrawal guarantees before disarmament, as conveyed to mediators on April 2, preserving military status quo without political incorporation. Demographic challenges from Gaza's population, West Bank-focused settlement expansions, and international condemnation further deter action; abrupt shifts like ceasefire collapse or far-right policy pivot could alter odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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