Trader consensus on Polymarket's Gold (GC) futures market reflected a sharp sentiment shift in March 2026, as prices plunged over 12%—the steepest monthly drop since 2008—closing near $4,650 per ounce on March 31 CME settlement. A surging U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% pressured the non-yielding asset, fueled by hawkish Federal Reserve signals holding rates steady amid persistent inflation above 2.7% PCE target. Fading rate-cut bets post-March FOMC erased earlier gains from 2025's rally, with profit-taking amplifying the downturn despite Middle East tensions. Key April catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, potentially swaying rate path expectations and gold's rebound trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$3,575,077 交易量
2026-03-31
↑ $10,000
否
↑ $7,000
否
↑ $6,600
否
↑ $6,400
否
↑ $6,200
否
↑ 6,000美元
否
↑ $5,800
否
↑ $5,600
否
↑ $5,500
否
↑ $5,400
否
↓ $5,200
是
↓ $5,100
是
↓ 5,000美元
是
↓ 4,900美元
是
↓ $4,700
是
↓ $4,500
是
↓ 4,300美元
否
↓ $4,000
否
↓ $3,600
否
↓ $3,000
否
$3,575,077 交易量
↑ $10,000
$326,861 交易量
否
↑ $7,000
$366,061 交易量
否
↑ $6,600
$108,345 交易量
否
↑ $6,400
$80,552 交易量
否
↑ $6,200
$110,991 交易量
否
↑ 6,000美元
$70,780 交易量
否
↑ $5,800
$114,631 交易量
否
↑ $5,600
$81,298 交易量
否
↑ $5,500
$80,503 交易量
否
↑ $5,400
$238,052 交易量
否
↓ $5,200
$143,436 交易量
是
↓ $5,100
$0 交易量
是
↓ 5,000美元
$0 交易量
是
↓ 4,900美元
$0 交易量
是
↓ $4,700
$496,005 交易量
是
↓ $4,500
$0 交易量
是
↓ 4,300美元
$252,994 交易量
否
↓ $4,000
$318,001 交易量
否
↓ $3,600
$285,458 交易量
否
↓ $3,000
$501,107 交易量
否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Gold (GC) futures market reflected a sharp sentiment shift in March 2026, as prices plunged over 12%—the steepest monthly drop since 2008—closing near $4,650 per ounce on March 31 CME settlement. A surging U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% pressured the non-yielding asset, fueled by hawkish Federal Reserve signals holding rates steady amid persistent inflation above 2.7% PCE target. Fading rate-cut bets post-March FOMC erased earlier gains from 2025's rally, with profit-taking amplifying the downturn despite Middle East tensions. Key April catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, potentially swaying rate path expectations and gold's rebound trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間： Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$3,575,077結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Gold (GC) futures market reflected a sharp sentiment shift in March 2026, as prices plunged over 12%—the steepest monthly drop since 2008—closing near $4,650 per ounce on March 31 CME settlement. A surging U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% pressured the non-yielding asset, fueled by hawkish Federal Reserve signals holding rates steady amid persistent inflation above 2.7% PCE target. Fading rate-cut bets post-March FOMC erased earlier gains from 2025's rally, with profit-taking amplifying the downturn despite Middle East tensions. Key April catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, potentially swaying rate path expectations and gold's rebound trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$3,575,077結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket's Gold (GC) futures market reflected a sharp sentiment shift in March 2026, as prices plunged over 12%—the steepest monthly drop since 2008—closing near $4,650 per ounce on March 31 CME settlement. A surging U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% pressured the non-yielding asset, fueled by hawkish Federal Reserve signals holding rates steady amid persistent inflation above 2.7% PCE target. Fading rate-cut bets post-March FOMC erased earlier gains from 2025's rally, with profit-taking amplifying the downturn despite Middle East tensions. Key April catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, potentially swaying rate path expectations and gold's rebound trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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