The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs above 6,100, driven by blowout Q4 earnings from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, which exceeded revenue forecasts amid surging AI demand, coupled with January CPI inflation easing to 2.9% year-over-year—reinforcing Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. Resilient labor data, including steady 4.0% unemployment and solid nonfarm payrolls, bolsters the soft-landing consensus, with Treasury yields dipping near 4.2% on the 10-year note. Trader sentiment reflects optimism for continued gains into end-March, but key risks loom from the March 12 CPI print and March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where dot plot updates could recalibrate three projected 25-basis-point cuts for 2025 amid sticky services inflation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$524,301 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ $7,500
<1%
↑ 7,300美元
<1%
↑ 7,200
<1%
↑ 7,100美元
1%
↑ 7,000元
1%
↑ 6,900美元
2%
↓ 6,400
50%
↓ 6,300美元
25%
↓ 6,200美元
10%
↓ 6,000
3%
↓ 5,000
<1%
$524,301 交易量
↑ $8,000
$0 交易量
<1%
↑ $7,500
$33,204 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,300美元
$72,675 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,200
$3,227 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,100美元
$15,303 交易量
1%
↑ 7,000元
$17,871 交易量
1%
↑ 6,900美元
$14,802 交易量
2%
↓ 6,400
$51,163 交易量
50%
↓ 6,300美元
$86,615 交易量
25%
↓ 6,200美元
$31,658 交易量
10%
↓ 6,000
$41,711 交易量
3%
↓ 5,000
$156,072 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs above 6,100, driven by blowout Q4 earnings from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, which exceeded revenue forecasts amid surging AI demand, coupled with January CPI inflation easing to 2.9% year-over-year—reinforcing Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. Resilient labor data, including steady 4.0% unemployment and solid nonfarm payrolls, bolsters the soft-landing consensus, with Treasury yields dipping near 4.2% on the 10-year note. Trader sentiment reflects optimism for continued gains into end-March, but key risks loom from the March 12 CPI print and March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where dot plot updates could recalibrate three projected 25-basis-point cuts for 2025 amid sticky services inflation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市場開放時間： Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
交易量
$524,301結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs above 6,100, driven by blowout Q4 earnings from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, which exceeded revenue forecasts amid surging AI demand, coupled with January CPI inflation easing to 2.9% year-over-year—reinforcing Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. Resilient labor data, including steady 4.0% unemployment and solid nonfarm payrolls, bolsters the soft-landing consensus, with Treasury yields dipping near 4.2% on the 10-year note. Trader sentiment reflects optimism for continued gains into end-March, but key risks loom from the March 12 CPI print and March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where dot plot updates could recalibrate three projected 25-basis-point cuts for 2025 amid sticky services inflation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$524,301結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs above 6,100, driven by blowout Q4 earnings from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, which exceeded revenue forecasts amid surging AI demand, coupled with January CPI inflation easing to 2.9% year-over-year—reinforcing Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. Resilient labor data, including steady 4.0% unemployment and solid nonfarm payrolls, bolsters the soft-landing consensus, with Treasury yields dipping near 4.2% on the 10-year note. Trader sentiment reflects optimism for continued gains into end-March, but key risks loom from the March 12 CPI print and March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where dot plot updates could recalibrate three projected 25-basis-point cuts for 2025 amid sticky services inflation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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