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金融·財務獎勵300

標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在3月底會受到什麼衝擊？

Market icon
金融·財務獎勵300

標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在3月底會受到什麼衝擊？

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

$738,250 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$738,250 交易量

Polymarket

↑ $8,000

$0 交易量

<1%

↑ $7,500

$42,806 交易量

<1%

↑ 7,300美元

$78,529 交易量

<1%

↑ 7,200

$6,497 交易量

<1%

↑ 7,100美元

$48,893 交易量

<1%

↑ 7,000元

$25,958 交易量

<1%

↑ 6,900美元

$65,584 交易量

1%

↓ 6,300美元

$137,800 交易量

50%

↓ 6,200美元

$37,172 交易量

33%

↓ 6,000

$52,094 交易量

4%

↓ 5,000

$169,588 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 6,368.85 on March 27, 2026, capping a volatile week with a roughly 3.5% decline from mid-week highs around 6,600, as escalating geopolitical tensions—particularly Iran-related concerns—drove Brent crude above $108 per barrel and triggered a bond market selloff with rising Treasury yields. This positioned the index just 1.3% above the $6,300 threshold and inches from correction territory (10% off recent peaks), reflecting trader caution amid softening momentum in mega-cap tech and broader risk-off sentiment. With only two trading days left through March 31 close, quarter-end rebalancing flows and potential late-month data like PCE inflation could sway the final level, underscoring elevated near-term volatility.

The S&P 500 closed at 6,368.85 on March 27, 2026, capping a volatile week with a roughly 3.5% decline from mid-week highs around 6,600, as escalating geopolitical tensions—particularly Iran-related concerns—drove Brent crude above $108 per barrel and triggered a bond market selloff with rising Treasury yields. This positioned the index just 1.3% above the $6,300 threshold and inches from correction territory (10% off recent peaks), reflecting trader caution amid softening momentum in mega-cap tech and broader risk-off sentiment. With only two trading days left through March 31 close, quarter-end rebalancing flows and potential late-month data like PCE inflation could sway the final level, underscoring elevated near-term volatility.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 6,368.85 on March 27, 2026, capping a volatile week with a roughly 3.5% decline from mid-week highs around 6,600, as escalating geopolitical tensions—particularly Iran-related concerns—drove Brent crude above $108 per barrel and triggered a bond market selloff with rising Treasury yields. This positioned the index just 1.3% above the $6,300 threshold and inches from correction territory (10% off recent peaks), reflecting trader caution amid softening momentum in mega-cap tech and broader risk-off sentiment. With only two trading days left through March 31 close, quarter-end rebalancing flows and potential late-month data like PCE inflation could sway the final level, underscoring elevated near-term volatility.

The S&P 500 closed at 6,368.85 on March 27, 2026, capping a volatile week with a roughly 3.5% decline from mid-week highs around 6,600, as escalating geopolitical tensions—particularly Iran-related concerns—drove Brent crude above $108 per barrel and triggered a bond market selloff with rising Treasury yields. This positioned the index just 1.3% above the $6,300 threshold and inches from correction territory (10% off recent peaks), reflecting trader caution amid softening momentum in mega-cap tech and broader risk-off sentiment. With only two trading days left through March 31 close, quarter-end rebalancing flows and potential late-month data like PCE inflation could sway the final level, underscoring elevated near-term volatility.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在3月底會受到什麼衝擊？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ 6,800美元" at 100%, followed by "↓ 6,600美元" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在3月底會受到什麼衝擊？" has generated $738.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在3月底會受到什麼衝擊？," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在3月底會受到什麼衝擊？" is "↑ 6,800美元" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ 6,600美元" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在3月底會受到什麼衝擊？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.