Market icon
金融·從新建中隱藏

特斯拉（ TSLA ）在2026年3月會受到什麼影響？

Market icon
金融·從新建中隱藏

特斯拉（ TSLA ）在2026年3月會受到什麼影響？

11:59PM Mar 31

11:59PM Apr 30

11:59PM Mar 31

11:59PM Apr 30

$265,136 交易量

Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket

$265,136 交易量

Polymarket

↑ 570美元

$30,422 交易量

<1%

↑ $533

$55,165 交易量

<1%

↑ $503

$10,421 交易量

<1%

↑ $473

$2,950 交易量

<1%

↑ $450

$4,177 交易量

2%

↑ $435

$900 交易量

8%

↑ $420

$3,897 交易量

3%

↓ $353

$7,294 交易量

43%

↓ $330

$8,233 交易量

3%

↓ $300

$9,467 交易量

3%

↓ $263

$76,359 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Tesla's share price closed at $361.83 on March 27, 2026, down nearly 9% over the past month amid trader consensus pricing in subdued EV demand and a recent cut to 2026 delivery guidance at 1.69 million units, well below prior 1.75 million estimates. Slowing U.S. growth and cash burn risks have overshadowed early-2026 China sales gains, where Tesla outpaced BYD, pressuring margins and valuation multiples currently at 100x forward earnings. Analyst consensus holds a $407 average price target, with wide dispersion reflecting uncertainty on Full Self-Driving adoption and Cybertruck ramp. Key near-term catalysts include Q1 2026 delivery confirmation and late-April earnings, alongside final March price action determining intraday highs for resolution thresholds.

Tesla's share price closed at $361.83 on March 27, 2026, down nearly 9% over the past month amid trader consensus pricing in subdued EV demand and a recent cut to 2026 delivery guidance at 1.69 million units, well below prior 1.75 million estimates. Slowing U.S. growth and cash burn risks have overshadowed early-2026 China sales gains, where Tesla outpaced BYD, pressuring margins and valuation multiples currently at 100x forward earnings. Analyst consensus holds a $407 average price target, with wide dispersion reflecting uncertainty on Full Self-Driving adoption and Cybertruck ramp. Key near-term catalysts include Q1 2026 delivery confirmation and late-April earnings, alongside final March price action determining intraday highs for resolution thresholds.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Tesla's share price closed at $361.83 on March 27, 2026, down nearly 9% over the past month amid trader consensus pricing in subdued EV demand and a recent cut to 2026 delivery guidance at 1.69 million units, well below prior 1.75 million estimates. Slowing U.S. growth and cash burn risks have overshadowed early-2026 China sales gains, where Tesla outpaced BYD, pressuring margins and valuation multiples currently at 100x forward earnings. Analyst consensus holds a $407 average price target, with wide dispersion reflecting uncertainty on Full Self-Driving adoption and Cybertruck ramp. Key near-term catalysts include Q1 2026 delivery confirmation and late-April earnings, alongside final March price action determining intraday highs for resolution thresholds.

Tesla's share price closed at $361.83 on March 27, 2026, down nearly 9% over the past month amid trader consensus pricing in subdued EV demand and a recent cut to 2026 delivery guidance at 1.69 million units, well below prior 1.75 million estimates. Slowing U.S. growth and cash burn risks have overshadowed early-2026 China sales gains, where Tesla outpaced BYD, pressuring margins and valuation multiples currently at 100x forward earnings. Analyst consensus holds a $407 average price target, with wide dispersion reflecting uncertainty on Full Self-Driving adoption and Cybertruck ramp. Key near-term catalysts include Q1 2026 delivery confirmation and late-April earnings, alongside final March price action determining intraday highs for resolution thresholds.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特斯拉（ TSLA ）在2026年3月會受到什麼影響？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ $405" at 100%, followed by "↓ $390" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特斯拉（ TSLA ）在2026年3月會受到什麼影響？" has generated $265.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特斯拉（ TSLA ）在2026年3月會受到什麼影響？," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特斯拉（ TSLA ）在2026年3月會受到什麼影響？" is "↓ $405" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ $390" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特斯拉（ TSLA ）在2026年3月會受到什麼影響？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.