Market icon
政治·明尼蘇達州騷亂

提姆華茲在監獄裡被... ？

Market icon
政治·明尼蘇達州騷亂

提姆華茲在監獄裡被... ？

$47,116 交易量

2026-03-31
Polymarket

$47,116 交易量

Polymarket

2026年12月31日

$12,238 交易量

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on whether Minnesota Governor Tim Walz will be incarcerated hinges on federal probes into the state's multi-billion-dollar welfare fraud scandal involving childcare, feeding, and autism programs, primarily linked to Somali networks. Whistleblowers testified in a March 4 House Oversight Committee hearing that Walz and Attorney General Keith Ellison ignored warnings for years, prompting Republican calls—including from VP JD Vance—for potential prosecution, though Walz defended his administration's response and introduced an anti-fraud package in February. No indictments or charges have been filed against Walz amid the DOJ's surging fraud crackdowns under Acting AG Todd Blanche, leaving the outcome uncertain pending any escalation in obstruction investigations or state-federal coordination.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$47,116
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on whether Minnesota Governor Tim Walz will be incarcerated hinges on federal probes into the state's multi-billion-dollar welfare fraud scandal involving childcare, feeding, and autism programs, primarily linked to Somali networks. Whistleblowers testified in a March 4 House Oversight Committee hearing that Walz and Attorney General Keith Ellison ignored warnings for years, prompting Republican calls—including from VP JD Vance—for potential prosecution, though Walz defended his administration's response and introduced an anti-fraud package in February. No indictments or charges have been filed against Walz amid the DOJ's surging fraud crackdowns under Acting AG Todd Blanche, leaving the outcome uncertain pending any escalation in obstruction investigations or state-federal coordination.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$47,116
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"提姆華茲在監獄裡被... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 6%, followed by "2026年3月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "提姆華茲在監獄裡被... ？" has generated $47.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "提姆華茲在監獄裡被... ？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "提姆華茲在監獄裡被... ？" is "2026年12月31日" at just 6%, with "2026年3月31日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "提姆華茲在監獄裡被... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.