Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" under $5 million opening weekend at 82.8% implied probability, driven by its disastrous $2.3 million Friday gross from 2,778 theaters following modest $1 million Thursday previews—well below pre-release tracking of $6-10 million. Zazie Beetz's horror-action-comedy faces stiff competition from Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary," projecting a dominant $45-53 million second weekend holdover. Despite a fresh 72-78% Rotten Tomatoes score from mixed-positive reviews including SXSW buzz, weak presales and limited walk-up demand have crushed momentum. Saturday and Sunday tallies, due Monday, could nudge toward 5-6 million at 14% odds if multipliers surprise, but current trajectory signals a box office bomb.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
<5m 83.5%
5-6m 15.0%
6-7m <1%
7-8m <1%
$174,340 交易量
$174,340 交易量
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
84%
5-6m
15%
6-7m
<1%
7-8m
<1%
>8m
<1%
<5m 83.5%
5-6m 15.0%
6-7m <1%
7-8m <1%
$174,340 交易量
$174,340 交易量
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
$50,650 交易量
84%
5-6m
$26,248 交易量
15%
6-7m
$24,812 交易量
<1%
7-8m
$21,370 交易量
<1%
>8m
$53,705 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" under $5 million opening weekend at 82.8% implied probability, driven by its disastrous $2.3 million Friday gross from 2,778 theaters following modest $1 million Thursday previews—well below pre-release tracking of $6-10 million. Zazie Beetz's horror-action-comedy faces stiff competition from Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary," projecting a dominant $45-53 million second weekend holdover. Despite a fresh 72-78% Rotten Tomatoes score from mixed-positive reviews including SXSW buzz, weak presales and limited walk-up demand have crushed momentum. Saturday and Sunday tallies, due Monday, could nudge toward 5-6 million at 14% odds if multipliers surprise, but current trajectory signals a box office bomb.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
交易量
$174,340結束日期
Mar 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" under $5 million opening weekend at 82.8% implied probability, driven by its disastrous $2.3 million Friday gross from 2,778 theaters following modest $1 million Thursday previews—well below pre-release tracking of $6-10 million. Zazie Beetz's horror-action-comedy faces stiff competition from Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary," projecting a dominant $45-53 million second weekend holdover. Despite a fresh 72-78% Rotten Tomatoes score from mixed-positive reviews including SXSW buzz, weak presales and limited walk-up demand have crushed momentum. Saturday and Sunday tallies, due Monday, could nudge toward 5-6 million at 14% odds if multipliers surprise, but current trajectory signals a box office bomb.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$174,340結束日期
Mar 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" under $5 million opening weekend at 82.8% implied probability, driven by its disastrous $2.3 million Friday gross from 2,778 theaters following modest $1 million Thursday previews—well below pre-release tracking of $6-10 million. Zazie Beetz's horror-action-comedy faces stiff competition from Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary," projecting a dominant $45-53 million second weekend holdover. Despite a fresh 72-78% Rotten Tomatoes score from mixed-positive reviews including SXSW buzz, weak presales and limited walk-up demand have crushed momentum. Saturday and Sunday tallies, due Monday, could nudge toward 5-6 million at 14% odds if multipliers surprise, but current trajectory signals a box office bomb.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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