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The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actor - Film

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The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actor - Film

Michael B. Jordan 100.0%

Leonardo DiCaprio <1%

Jesse Plemons <1%

Timothée Chalamet <1%

Polymarket

$109,106 交易量

Michael B. Jordan 100.0%

Leonardo DiCaprio <1%

Jesse Plemons <1%

Timothée Chalamet <1%

Polymarket

$109,106 交易量

Leonardo DiCaprio

$9,251 交易量

No

Jesse Plemons

$5,658 交易量

No

Timothée Chalamet

$25,636 交易量

No

Michael B. Jordan

$8,218 交易量

Yes

Joel Edgerton

$23,735 交易量

No

Ethan Hawke

$6,934 交易量

No

Wagner Moura

$29,673 交易量

No

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actor whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actor whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actor - Film" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael B. Jordan" at 100%, followed by "Leonardo DiCaprio" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actor - Film" has generated $109.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actor - Film," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actor - Film" is "Michael B. Jordan" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Leonardo DiCaprio" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The Actor Awards Winner: Best Actor - Film" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.