Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) at 95% to win the most seats in the June 3 National Assembly by-elections across seven former DP strongholds vacated by resignations, invalidations, and mayoral bids, reflecting President Lee Jae-myung's high approval ratings and March polls showing DP leads of 40-54% in key districts like Yeonsu-gu Gap and Jeonbuk Gunsan Gap. Opposition fragmentation among People Power Party (PPP), Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP), Reform Party (RP), and Progressive Party (PP) challengers, coupled with DP's nomination resolutions despite internal disputes in Ansan-gap and Yeonsu-gap, solidifies this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from late DP candidate scandals, RKP upsets led by figures like Cho Kuk allies, or unexpected conservative turnout surges coinciding with simultaneous local elections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於共同民主黨（DP） 95.0%
改革黨（RP） 2.8%
重建韓國黨（RKP） 2.6%
國民力量黨（PPP） 2.2%
NEW
NEW
Jun 3, 2026
國民力量黨（PPP）
2%
共同民主黨（DP）
95%
重建韓國黨（RKP）
3%
進步黨（PP）
2%
改革黨（RP）
3%
共同民主黨（DP） 95.0%
改革黨（RP） 2.8%
重建韓國黨（RKP） 2.6%
國民力量黨（PPP） 2.2%
NEW
NEW
Jun 3, 2026
國民力量黨（PPP）
$474 交易量
2%
共同民主黨（DP）
$0 交易量
95%
重建韓國黨（RKP）
$0 交易量
3%
進步黨（PP）
$0 交易量
2%
改革黨（RP）
$0 交易量
3%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) at 95% to win the most seats in the June 3 National Assembly by-elections across seven former DP strongholds vacated by resignations, invalidations, and mayoral bids, reflecting President Lee Jae-myung's high approval ratings and March polls showing DP leads of 40-54% in key districts like Yeonsu-gu Gap and Jeonbuk Gunsan Gap. Opposition fragmentation among People Power Party (PPP), Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP), Reform Party (RP), and Progressive Party (PP) challengers, coupled with DP's nomination resolutions despite internal disputes in Ansan-gap and Yeonsu-gap, solidifies this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from late DP candidate scandals, RKP upsets led by figures like Cho Kuk allies, or unexpected conservative turnout surges coinciding with simultaneous local elections.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
市場開放時間： Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
交易量
$474結束日期
Jun 3, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) at 95% to win the most seats in the June 3 National Assembly by-elections across seven former DP strongholds vacated by resignations, invalidations, and mayoral bids, reflecting President Lee Jae-myung's high approval ratings and March polls showing DP leads of 40-54% in key districts like Yeonsu-gu Gap and Jeonbuk Gunsan Gap. Opposition fragmentation among People Power Party (PPP), Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP), Reform Party (RP), and Progressive Party (PP) challengers, coupled with DP's nomination resolutions despite internal disputes in Ansan-gap and Yeonsu-gap, solidifies this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from late DP candidate scandals, RKP upsets led by figures like Cho Kuk allies, or unexpected conservative turnout surges coinciding with simultaneous local elections.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
交易量
$474結束日期
Jun 3, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) at 95% to win the most seats in the June 3 National Assembly by-elections across seven former DP strongholds vacated by resignations, invalidations, and mayoral bids, reflecting President Lee Jae-myung's high approval ratings and March polls showing DP leads of 40-54% in key districts like Yeonsu-gu Gap and Jeonbuk Gunsan Gap. Opposition fragmentation among People Power Party (PPP), Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP), Reform Party (RP), and Progressive Party (PP) challengers, coupled with DP's nomination resolutions despite internal disputes in Ansan-gap and Yeonsu-gap, solidifies this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from late DP candidate scandals, RKP upsets led by figures like Cho Kuk allies, or unexpected conservative turnout surges coinciding with simultaneous local elections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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