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世界·羅馬尼亞

羅馬尼亞總理Bolojan在12月31日之前退出？

Market icon
世界·羅馬尼亞

羅馬尼亞總理Bolojan在12月31日之前退出？

是

69% 機率
Polymarket

$23,286 交易量

是

69% 機率
Polymarket

$23,286 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising tensions within Romania's broad pro-EU coalition government have driven trader consensus to a 69% implied probability that Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan will be out by December 31, reflecting PSD's recent ultimatum demanding his resignation over austerity measures and budget disputes. On April 16, Bloomberg reported the Social Democrats—the largest coalition partner—planning to withdraw support as early as next week, following months of public criticism from PSD leaders like Sorin Grindeanu despite their ministers backing key votes. Bolojan rebuffed the threats, vowing no resignation, while President Nicușor Dan urged coalition continuity to avoid instability. Traders weigh PSD's parliamentary leverage against potential no-confidence motions or snap negotiations, with historical patterns of fragile coalitions amplifying risks through year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,286
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising tensions within Romania's broad pro-EU coalition government have driven trader consensus to a 69% implied probability that Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan will be out by December 31, reflecting PSD's recent ultimatum demanding his resignation over austerity measures and budget disputes. On April 16, Bloomberg reported the Social Democrats—the largest coalition partner—planning to withdraw support as early as next week, following months of public criticism from PSD leaders like Sorin Grindeanu despite their ministers backing key votes. Bolojan rebuffed the threats, vowing no resignation, while President Nicușor Dan urged coalition continuity to avoid instability. Traders weigh PSD's parliamentary leverage against potential no-confidence motions or snap negotiations, with historical patterns of fragile coalitions amplifying risks through year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,286
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"羅馬尼亞總理Bolojan在12月31日之前退出？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "羅馬尼亞總理博洛揚會在12月31日前下台嗎？" at 69%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "羅馬尼亞總理Bolojan在12月31日之前退出？" has generated $23.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "羅馬尼亞總理Bolojan在12月31日之前退出？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "羅馬尼亞總理Bolojan在12月31日之前退出？" is "羅馬尼亞總理博洛揚會在12月31日前下台嗎？" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "羅馬尼亞總理Bolojan在12月31日之前退出？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.