Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？

Name: Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？
Start: 2025-11-05T17:10:28.253Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

政治·皮埃爾

Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？

12月 31

是

16% 機率

$116,773 交易量

2026-12-31

是

16% 機率

$116,773 交易量

2026-12-31

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "波利耶夫將在2026年12月31日前卸任保守黨領袖？" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？" has generated $116.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？" is "波利耶夫將在2026年12月31日前卸任保守黨領袖？" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $116.8K traded on “Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 16¢ for "波利耶夫將在2026年12月31日前卸任保守黨領袖？" in the "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 16% chance that "波利耶夫將在2026年12月31日前卸任保守黨領袖？" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 16¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 84¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？" market has an active community of 275 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？

Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？

訂單簿

訂單簿

Frequently Asked Questions

Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？

Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？

訂單簿

訂單簿

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (275)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？"?

What are the current odds for "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？"?

How will "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？" be resolved?

Can I follow "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？"?

What does a price of 16¢ for "波利耶夫將在2026年12月31日前卸任保守黨領袖？" mean?

When does the "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？" market close?

What are traders saying about "Poilievre在2026年12月31日之前成為保守黨領袖？"?

What is Polymarket?