**Pierre Poilievre remains firmly entrenched as Conservative Party leader following his decisive survival of the mandatory post-election leadership review at the January 2026 national convention in Calgary, where he secured roughly 87–90% delegate support.** This outcome followed the Conservatives’ second-place finish in the April 2025 federal election, in which the party won 144 seats against the Liberals’ 169 under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Poilievre lost his Carleton riding but returned via an August by-election in an Alberta seat. Although several Conservative MPs have crossed the floor to the Liberals since the election, no organized caucus revolt or credible alternative leadership bid has emerged. Poilievre continues to set the party’s agenda on affordability, housing, and fiscal issues while positioning the Conservatives for the next federal contest. With no scheduled convention or review until after the current Parliament and no public indications of resignation, trader consensus reflects the low near-term probability of his departure by the end of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$150,929 交易量
$150,929 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$150,929 交易量
$150,929 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pierre Poilievre remains firmly entrenched as Conservative Party leader following his decisive survival of the mandatory post-election leadership review at the January 2026 national convention in Calgary, where he secured roughly 87–90% delegate support.** This outcome followed the Conservatives’ second-place finish in the April 2025 federal election, in which the party won 144 seats against the Liberals’ 169 under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Poilievre lost his Carleton riding but returned via an August by-election in an Alberta seat.
Although several Conservative MPs have crossed the floor to the Liberals since the election, no organized caucus revolt or credible alternative leadership bid has emerged. Poilievre continues to set the party’s agenda on affordability, housing, and fiscal issues while positioning the Conservatives for the next federal contest. With no scheduled convention or review until after the current Parliament and no public indications of resignation, trader consensus reflects the low near-term probability of his departure by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ET
交易量
$150,929結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pierre Poilievre remains firmly entrenched as Conservative Party leader following his decisive survival of the mandatory post-election leadership review at the January 2026 national convention in Calgary, where he secured roughly 87–90% delegate support.** This outcome followed the Conservatives’ second-place finish in the April 2025 federal election, in which the party won 144 seats against the Liberals’ 169 under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Poilievre lost his Carleton riding but returned via an August by-election in an Alberta seat.
Although several Conservative MPs have crossed the floor to the Liberals since the election, no organized caucus revolt or credible alternative leadership bid has emerged. Poilievre continues to set the party’s agenda on affordability, housing, and fiscal issues while positioning the Conservatives for the next federal contest. With no scheduled convention or review until after the current Parliament and no public indications of resignation, trader consensus reflects the low near-term probability of his departure by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$150,929結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Pierre Poilievre remains firmly entrenched as Conservative Party leader following his decisive survival of the mandatory post-election leadership review at the January 2026 national convention in Calgary, where he secured roughly 87–90% delegate support.** This outcome followed the Conservatives’ second-place finish in the April 2025 federal election, in which the party won 144 seats against the Liberals’ 169 under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Poilievre lost his Carleton riding but returned via an August by-election in an Alberta seat. Although several Conservative MPs have crossed the floor to the Liberals since the election, no organized caucus revolt or credible alternative leadership bid has emerged. Poilievre continues to set the party’s agenda on affordability, housing, and fiscal issues while positioning the Conservatives for the next federal contest. With no scheduled convention or review until after the current Parliament and no public indications of resignation, trader consensus reflects the low near-term probability of his departure by the end of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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