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選舉·賓夕法尼亞州小學

PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·賓夕法尼亞州小學

PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者

賈內爾·斯特爾森 90%

Justin Douglas 8%

傑森·卡斯 2.4%

威廉·利利奇 <1%

Polymarket

$12,985 交易量

賈內爾·斯特爾森 90%

Justin Douglas 8%

傑森·卡斯 2.4%

威廉·利利奇 <1%

Polymarket

$12,985 交易量

賈內爾·斯特爾森

$2,899 交易量

90%

Justin Douglas

$658 交易量

8%

傑森·卡斯

$8,085 交易量

2%

威廉·利利奇

$719 交易量

1%

Michael Robinson

$624 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Janelle Stelson commands 89.5% trader consensus as the PA-10 Democratic primary frontrunner on May 19, reflecting her established name recognition from three decades as an Emmy-winning local news anchor, a near-upset against incumbent Rep. Scott Perry in 2024, and early February inclusion in the DCCC's Red-to-Blue program targeting vulnerable Republicans.** The closed primary format and low expected turnout favor her over challengers like Justin Douglas (7.5%), who gained a late February endorsement from dropping contender William Lillich (0.9%), as well as Jason Cass (2.4%) and Michael Robinson (0.8%) with limited fundraising and visibility. Recent filings in March and Stelson's end-of-month anti-corruption agenda announcement have reinforced her lead, with both top candidates opposing the SAVE Act voter ID measure as of April 1, amid no public polling to challenge the skin-in-the-game pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$12,985
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Janelle Stelson commands 89.5% trader consensus as the PA-10 Democratic primary frontrunner on May 19, reflecting her established name recognition from three decades as an Emmy-winning local news anchor, a near-upset against incumbent Rep. Scott Perry in 2024, and early February inclusion in the DCCC's Red-to-Blue program targeting vulnerable Republicans.** The closed primary format and low expected turnout favor her over challengers like Justin Douglas (7.5%), who gained a late February endorsement from dropping contender William Lillich (0.9%), as well as Jason Cass (2.4%) and Michael Robinson (0.8%) with limited fundraising and visibility. Recent filings in March and Stelson's end-of-month anti-corruption agenda announcement have reinforced her lead, with both top candidates opposing the SAVE Act voter ID measure as of April 1, amid no public polling to challenge the skin-in-the-game pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$12,985
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "賈內爾·斯特爾森" at 90%, followed by "Justin Douglas" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $13K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者" is "賈內爾·斯特爾森" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Justin Douglas" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.