Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Opendoor (OPEN) closing the week of March 16 in the $5.00-$6.00 range at 75% implied probability, driven primarily by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts boosting mortgage affordability and home sales volume—critical for Opendoor's iBuying model after high rates crushed demand. Current shares trade around $1.75 amid high short interest (over 20%), but recent Q2 results showed 30% year-over-year growth in homes sold despite a revenue miss, narrowing losses to $85 million. Upcoming Q3 earnings on November 5 and housing data releases could catalyze a rally, though persistent inflation risks temper upside beyond $7, aligning lower odds for extreme outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$5.00-$6.00 83%
$4.00-$5.00 16%
$6.00-$7.00 11%
$3.00-$4.00 2.5%
$115,767 交易量
$115,767 交易量
低於1.00美元
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
<1%
$2.00-$3.00
1%
$3.00-$4.00
2%
$4.00-$5.00
16%
$5.00-$6.00
77%
$6.00-$7.00
13%
7.00-8.00美元
1%
$8.00-$9.00
1%
$9.00-$10
1%
>10美元
<1%
$5.00-$6.00 83%
$4.00-$5.00 16%
$6.00-$7.00 11%
$3.00-$4.00 2.5%
$115,767 交易量
$115,767 交易量
低於1.00美元
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
<1%
$2.00-$3.00
1%
$3.00-$4.00
2%
$4.00-$5.00
16%
$5.00-$6.00
77%
$6.00-$7.00
13%
7.00-8.00美元
1%
$8.00-$9.00
1%
$9.00-$10
1%
>10美元
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間: Mar 9, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Opendoor (OPEN) closing the week of March 16 in the $5.00-$6.00 range at 75% implied probability, driven primarily by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts boosting mortgage affordability and home sales volume—critical for Opendoor's iBuying model after high rates crushed demand. Current shares trade around $1.75 amid high short interest (over 20%), but recent Q2 results showed 30% year-over-year growth in homes sold despite a revenue miss, narrowing losses to $85 million. Upcoming Q3 earnings on November 5 and housing data releases could catalyze a rally, though persistent inflation risks temper upside beyond $7, aligning lower odds for extreme outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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