Trader consensus heavily favors no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 81.5% implied probability, driven by the MLB Players Association's recent buildup of a $519 million war chest—more than double its prior levels—to brace for a potential lockout, as disclosed in late March filings. Owners are aggressively pushing for a salary cap amid payroll disparities highlighted by massive deals like the Dodgers' signing of Kyle Tucker, while the union staunchly opposes it, echoing tensions from the 2021-22 labor stoppage that delayed spring training. Formal negotiations are slated to begin this spring, but historical patterns and both sides' preparations indicate protracted talks unlikely to resolve before the current agreement's Dec. 1 expiration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-12-01
是
最新
最新
2026-12-01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 81.5% implied probability, driven by the MLB Players Association's recent buildup of a $519 million war chest—more than double its prior levels—to brace for a potential lockout, as disclosed in late March filings. Owners are aggressively pushing for a salary cap amid payroll disparities highlighted by massive deals like the Dodgers' signing of Kyle Tucker, while the union staunchly opposes it, echoing tensions from the 2021-22 labor stoppage that delayed spring training. Formal negotiations are slated to begin this spring, but historical patterns and both sides' preparations indicate protracted talks unlikely to resolve before the current agreement's Dec. 1 expiration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
交易量
$6,157結束日期
2026-12-01市場開放時間
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 81.5% implied probability, driven by the MLB Players Association's recent buildup of a $519 million war chest—more than double its prior levels—to brace for a potential lockout, as disclosed in late March filings. Owners are aggressively pushing for a salary cap amid payroll disparities highlighted by massive deals like the Dodgers' signing of Kyle Tucker, while the union staunchly opposes it, echoing tensions from the 2021-22 labor stoppage that delayed spring training. Formal negotiations are slated to begin this spring, but historical patterns and both sides' preparations indicate protracted talks unlikely to resolve before the current agreement's Dec. 1 expiration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,157結束日期
2026-12-01市場開放時間
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 81.5% implied probability, driven by the MLB Players Association's recent buildup of a $519 million war chest—more than double its prior levels—to brace for a potential lockout, as disclosed in late March filings. Owners are aggressively pushing for a salary cap amid payroll disparities highlighted by massive deals like the Dodgers' signing of Kyle Tucker, while the union staunchly opposes it, echoing tensions from the 2021-22 labor stoppage that delayed spring training. Formal negotiations are slated to begin this spring, but historical patterns and both sides' preparations indicate protracted talks unlikely to resolve before the current agreement's Dec. 1 expiration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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