Market icon
運動·MLB

12月1日前有新的MLB CBA ？

Market icon
運動·MLB

12月1日前有新的MLB CBA ？

是

33% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

33% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.With the current MLB CBA set to expire December 1, 2026, trader consensus prices "No" new agreement by that date at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting entrenched positions ahead of labor talks. The MLBPA's latest financial filings reveal a $415 million war chest amassed for a potential lockout, echoing preparations before the 99-day 2022 work stoppage. Recent Forbes analysis highlights owner-player revenue disputes and pushes for a salary cap, international draft reforms, and contract length limits—issues with no resolution in sight as Opening Day focus dominates. Absent formal negotiations eight months out, historical patterns of deadline brinkmanship drive skepticism for an early deal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,157
結束日期
2026-12-01
市場開放時間
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.With the current MLB CBA set to expire December 1, 2026, trader consensus prices "No" new agreement by that date at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting entrenched positions ahead of labor talks. The MLBPA's latest financial filings reveal a $415 million war chest amassed for a potential lockout, echoing preparations before the 99-day 2022 work stoppage. Recent Forbes analysis highlights owner-player revenue disputes and pushes for a salary cap, international draft reforms, and contract length limits—issues with no resolution in sight as Opening Day focus dominates. Absent formal negotiations eight months out, historical patterns of deadline brinkmanship drive skepticism for an early deal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,157
結束日期
2026-12-01
市場開放時間
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"12月1日前有新的MLB CBA ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月1日前會有新的MLB勞資協議嗎？" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"12月1日前有新的MLB CBA ？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "12月1日前有新的MLB CBA ？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "12月1日前有新的MLB CBA ？" is "12月1日前會有新的MLB勞資協議嗎？" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "12月1日前有新的MLB CBA ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.