Narendra Modi remains India's incumbent prime minister in his third term, which runs through 2029, following the Bharatiya Janata Party's coalition government formation after the 2024 general election. Recent state assembly results in May 2026 delivered BJP victories in West Bengal and Assam, expanding the party's influence and weakening opposition alliances midway through the term. These outcomes align with trader consensus that no constitutional, electoral, or internal party mechanisms are likely to force an exit before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Speculation from opposition figures about premature departure lacks supporting institutional signals, while Modi's ongoing diplomatic engagements and policy actions underscore continuity. The 92.5% implied probability for "No" reflects this stable incumbency position and the absence of credible near-term removal triggers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$58,775 交易量
$58,775 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$58,775 交易量
$58,775 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains India's incumbent prime minister in his third term, which runs through 2029, following the Bharatiya Janata Party's coalition government formation after the 2024 general election. Recent state assembly results in May 2026 delivered BJP victories in West Bengal and Assam, expanding the party's influence and weakening opposition alliances midway through the term. These outcomes align with trader consensus that no constitutional, electoral, or internal party mechanisms are likely to force an exit before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Speculation from opposition figures about premature departure lacks supporting institutional signals, while Modi's ongoing diplomatic engagements and policy actions underscore continuity. The 92.5% implied probability for "No" reflects this stable incumbency position and the absence of credible near-term removal triggers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$58,775結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains India's incumbent prime minister in his third term, which runs through 2029, following the Bharatiya Janata Party's coalition government formation after the 2024 general election. Recent state assembly results in May 2026 delivered BJP victories in West Bengal and Assam, expanding the party's influence and weakening opposition alliances midway through the term. These outcomes align with trader consensus that no constitutional, electoral, or internal party mechanisms are likely to force an exit before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Speculation from opposition figures about premature departure lacks supporting institutional signals, while Modi's ongoing diplomatic engagements and policy actions underscore continuity. The 92.5% implied probability for "No" reflects this stable incumbency position and the absence of credible near-term removal triggers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$58,775結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi remains India's incumbent prime minister in his third term, which runs through 2029, following the Bharatiya Janata Party's coalition government formation after the 2024 general election. Recent state assembly results in May 2026 delivered BJP victories in West Bengal and Assam, expanding the party's influence and weakening opposition alliances midway through the term. These outcomes align with trader consensus that no constitutional, electoral, or internal party mechanisms are likely to force an exit before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Speculation from opposition figures about premature departure lacks supporting institutional signals, while Modi's ongoing diplomatic engagements and policy actions underscore continuity. The 92.5% implied probability for "No" reflects this stable incumbency position and the absence of credible near-term removal triggers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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