Narendra Modi continues to lead India's NDA coalition government as prime minister following the 2024 Lok Sabha results, with his current term scheduled to run through 2029. Recent milestones, including surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru's record for consecutive days in office in June 2026 and ongoing project inaugurations, reinforce his position amid routine coalition management and policy implementation. Opposition protests over voter rolls and isolated predictions of earlier exit have not altered the parliamentary arithmetic or triggered no-confidence mechanisms. Trader consensus reflected in the 98.5% probability for "No" aligns with the absence of credible near-term resignation triggers, coalition fractures, or electoral deadlines before December 31, 2026. Low-probability shifts could still arise from acute health developments or unexpected parliamentary reversals, though these remain outside current evidence.