Cristopher Sanchez holds a slim edge over Paul Skenes in trader consensus for the 2026 NL Cy Young at 25.5% implied probability to 24.0%, driven by their elite 2024 breakouts—Sanchez logging 171.2 innings with a 3.32 ERA and strong groundball tendencies for the Phillies, while Skenes dazzled in 133 frames at 1.96 ERA with triple-digit heat for the Pirates—yet the razor-thin gap reflects projection risks like innings limits and durability for both young lefty and righty aces. Brewers arms Freddy Peralta (10.5%) and top prospect Jacob Misiorowski (10.0%) keep the race competitive via swing-and-miss stuff and velocity, amid a crowded field featuring Dodgers' Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Shohei Ohtani's dual-threat return, Zack Wheeler's veteran consistency, and recovering talents like Brandon Woodruff and Spencer Strider. With offseason quiet and no major trades or injuries in the past week, the NL's depth of high-upside starters sustains this tight, volatile dynamic.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Cristopher Sanchez 26%
保羅·斯肯斯 25%
Freddy Peralta 11.1%
山本由伸 11%
$10,404 交易量
$10,404 交易量
Cristopher Sanchez
26%
保羅·斯肯斯
25%
Freddy Peralta
11%
山本由伸
11%
大谷翔平
9%
Zack Wheeler
8%
雅各布·米西奧羅夫斯基
8%
Eury Perez
8%
Jesus Luzardo
7%
斯賓塞·史賓瑟
7%
Chris Sale
7%
杭特·格林
6%
Blake Snell
5%
尼克·皮維塔
5%
泰勒·葛拉斯諾
5%
麥可·金
5%
尼克·洛多洛
4%
Logan Webb
2%
米奇·凱勒
2%
諾蘭·麥克連
8%
布蘭登·伍德拉夫
7%
斯賓塞·施韋倫巴赫
1%
Cristopher Sanchez 26%
保羅·斯肯斯 25%
Freddy Peralta 11.1%
山本由伸 11%
$10,404 交易量
$10,404 交易量
Cristopher Sanchez
26%
保羅·斯肯斯
25%
Freddy Peralta
11%
山本由伸
11%
大谷翔平
9%
Zack Wheeler
8%
雅各布·米西奧羅夫斯基
8%
Eury Perez
8%
Jesus Luzardo
7%
斯賓塞·史賓瑟
7%
Chris Sale
7%
杭特·格林
6%
Blake Snell
5%
尼克·皮維塔
5%
泰勒·葛拉斯諾
5%
麥可·金
5%
尼克·洛多洛
4%
Logan Webb
2%
米奇·凱勒
2%
諾蘭·麥克連
8%
布蘭登·伍德拉夫
7%
斯賓塞·施韋倫巴赫
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cristopher Sanchez holds a slim edge over Paul Skenes in trader consensus for the 2026 NL Cy Young at 25.5% implied probability to 24.0%, driven by their elite 2024 breakouts—Sanchez logging 171.2 innings with a 3.32 ERA and strong groundball tendencies for the Phillies, while Skenes dazzled in 133 frames at 1.96 ERA with triple-digit heat for the Pirates—yet the razor-thin gap reflects projection risks like innings limits and durability for both young lefty and righty aces. Brewers arms Freddy Peralta (10.5%) and top prospect Jacob Misiorowski (10.0%) keep the race competitive via swing-and-miss stuff and velocity, amid a crowded field featuring Dodgers' Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Shohei Ohtani's dual-threat return, Zack Wheeler's veteran consistency, and recovering talents like Brandon Woodruff and Spencer Strider. With offseason quiet and no major trades or injuries in the past week, the NL's depth of high-upside starters sustains this tight, volatile dynamic.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions