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美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍

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運動·獎項

美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍

保羅·斯肯斯 29%

Cristopher Sanchez 16%

山本由伸 10%

大谷翔平 9.3%

Polymarket

$10,419 交易量

保羅·斯肯斯 29%

Cristopher Sanchez 16%

山本由伸 10%

大谷翔平 9.3%

Polymarket

$10,419 交易量

保羅·斯肯斯

$6,329 交易量

34%

Cristopher Sanchez

$276 交易量

16%

山本由伸

$368 交易量

10%

大谷翔平

$0 交易量

9%

斯賓塞·史賓瑟

$0 交易量

9%

Eury Perez

$342 交易量

8%

Jesus Luzardo

$334 交易量

8%

Zack Wheeler

$534 交易量

7%

尼克·皮維塔

$455 交易量

6%

麥可·金

$351 交易量

6%

杭特·格林

$0 交易量

9%

Blake Snell

$0 交易量

5%

泰勒·葛拉斯諾

$261 交易量

5%

米奇·凱勒

$290 交易量

5%

尼克·洛多洛

$0 交易量

5%

Chris Sale

$438 交易量

4%

雅各布·米西奧羅夫斯基

$0 交易量

19%

Logan Webb

$0 交易量

2%

諾蘭·麥克連

$0 交易量

9%

Freddy Peralta

$440 交易量

10%

布蘭登·伍德拉夫

$0 交易量

8%

斯賓塞·施韋倫巴赫

$0 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Paul Skenes as the slim 2026 NL Cy Young favorite at 25% implied probability, with Brewers prospect Jacob Misiorowski (19%) and Phillies lefty Cristopher Sanchez (16%) keeping the market tightly contested amid a deep field of emerging aces and injury rebounds. Skenes' electric 2024 rookie campaign (1.96 ERA, 11.2 K/9) established him as Pittsburgh's rotation cornerstone, while Misiorowski's mid-September MLB debut showcased 100-mph heat and sharp slider command after dominating Triple-A. Sanchez's breakout All-Star year (3.32 ERA, 181 strikeouts) solidified his Phillies mid-rotation role, but lingering uncertainties around workload management, health recoveries for arms like Spencer Strider and Brandon Woodruff, and prospects like Nolan McLean maintain the competitive balance in this long-term futures market.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$10,419
結束日期
Nov 12, 2026
市場開放時間
Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Resolver

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This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Paul Skenes as the slim 2026 NL Cy Young favorite at 25% implied probability, with Brewers prospect Jacob Misiorowski (19%) and Phillies lefty Cristopher Sanchez (16%) keeping the market tightly contested amid a deep field of emerging aces and injury rebounds. Skenes' electric 2024 rookie campaign (1.96 ERA, 11.2 K/9) established him as Pittsburgh's rotation cornerstone, while Misiorowski's mid-September MLB debut showcased 100-mph heat and sharp slider command after dominating Triple-A. Sanchez's breakout All-Star year (3.32 ERA, 181 strikeouts) solidified his Phillies mid-rotation role, but lingering uncertainties around workload management, health recoveries for arms like Spencer Strider and Brandon Woodruff, and prospects like Nolan McLean maintain the competitive balance in this long-term futures market.

Trader consensus prices Paul Skenes as the slim 2026 NL Cy Young favorite at 25% implied probability, with Brewers prospect Jacob Misiorowski (19%) and Phillies lefty Cristopher Sanchez (16%) keeping the market tightly contested amid a deep field of emerging aces and injury rebounds. Skenes' electric 2024 rookie campaign (1.96 ERA, 11.2 K/9) established him as Pittsburgh's rotation cornerstone, while Misiorowski's mid-September MLB debut showcased 100-mph heat and sharp slider command after dominating Triple-A. Sanchez's breakout All-Star year (3.32 ERA, 181 strikeouts) solidified his Phillies mid-rotation role, but lingering uncertainties around workload management, health recoveries for arms like Spencer Strider and Brandon Woodruff, and prospects like Nolan McLean maintain the competitive balance in this long-term futures market.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

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Frequently Asked Questions

"美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "保羅·斯肯斯" at 34%, followed by "雅各布·米西奧羅夫斯基" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍" has generated $10.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍" is "保羅·斯肯斯" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "雅各布·米西奧羅夫斯基" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "美國職棒大聯盟： 2026年NL Cy Young冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.