Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15, 2026, hit exactly 10°C in early morning hours at official weather stations, amid a persistent high-pressure ridge driving unseasonably warm conditions with rapid diurnal warming to highs near 26°C. This aligns with model consensus from KMA short-range forecasts and global ensembles like ECMWF, which projected morning lows around 9–12°C under dry advection and light winds, well above the mid-April climatological average of 7–9°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, pricing 10°C at full certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data audits uncovering a lower peripheral-station reading or instrument recalibration, though KMA verification processes make such shifts improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月15日首爾最低溫度?
4月15日首爾最低溫度?
10°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
11°C <1%
$100,603 交易量
$100,603 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或以上
否
10°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
11°C <1%
$100,603 交易量
$100,603 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15, 2026, hit exactly 10°C in early morning hours at official weather stations, amid a persistent high-pressure ridge driving unseasonably warm conditions with rapid diurnal warming to highs near 26°C. This aligns with model consensus from KMA short-range forecasts and global ensembles like ECMWF, which projected morning lows around 9–12°C under dry advection and light winds, well above the mid-April climatological average of 7–9°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, pricing 10°C at full certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data audits uncovering a lower peripheral-station reading or instrument recalibration, though KMA verification processes make such shifts improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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