伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？

Name: 伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？
Start: 2026-03-01T20:13:34.461Z
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？ — 討論

hilaobote · 2026-03-01T20:13:34.461Z

關於伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

運動·伊朗

伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？

$157,218 交易量

Mar 31, 2026

3月31日

$156,844 交易量

April 30

$374 交易量

26%

$157,218 交易量

3月31日

$156,844 交易量

April 30

$374 交易量

26%

Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter. "Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason. The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Iran continues to compete in the 2026 FIFA World Cup AFC third-round qualifiers, sitting second in Group A with 20 points from 8 matches after a 2-2 draw against UAE on November 14 and a 4-1 win over Kyrgyzstan on November 19, keeping them on track for direct qualification. No official FIFA actions or announcements have surfaced regarding removal or bans, despite ongoing Middle East geopolitical tensions including Iran-Israel conflicts that fuel trader speculation on potential disruptions. Key factors include Iran's strong recent form (unbeaten in qualifiers since September), squad health with no major injuries reported, and upcoming fixtures against Qatar (Dec 5) and Uzbekistan (Dec 10), where results could solidify their position; monitor FIFA statements for any human rights or political sanction developments.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 26, 2026, 1:37 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 30" at 26%, followed by "3月31日" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？" has generated $157.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？" is "April 30" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3月31日" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $157.2K traded on “伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 26¢ for "April 30" in the "伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 26% chance that "April 30" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 26¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 74¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 30, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？" market has an active community of 84 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？

伊朗在...前退出了FIFA世界杯？

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Frequently Asked Questions

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