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經濟艙·非農工資

3月份新增了多少工作？

Market icon
經濟艙·非農工資

3月份新增了多少工作？

4月 3

4月 3

50k – 100k 37%

100k+ 30%

0 – 50k 26%

-50k – 0 11%

Polymarket

$18,075 交易量

50k – 100k 37%

100k+ 30%

0 – 50k 26%

-50k – 0 11%

Polymarket

$18,075 交易量

<-150k

$1,718 交易量

3%

-150k – -100k

$1,182 交易量

4%

-100k – -50k

$1,184 交易量

2%

-50k – 0

$1,546 交易量

11%

0 – 50k

$1,220 交易量

26%

50k – 100k

$5,653 交易量

31%

100k+

$5,572 交易量

35%

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest rebound in March nonfarm payrolls, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 35.5% for 100k+, 31.0% for 50k–100k, and 26.0% for 0–50k, reflecting uncertainty after February's surprise -92,000 decline amid a 4.4% unemployment rate. Today's ADP report showing +62,000 private-sector jobs—above the 40,000 consensus—provided a key lift, signaling steady hiring in health care despite manufacturing weakness (ISM employment at 48.8). Stable jobless claims (210,000 initial, continuing at 1.819 million low) underpin resilience, but economist forecasts cluster around 55,000–60,000 ahead of Friday's BLS release, where revisions and strike rebounds could swing outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
交易量
$18,075
結束日期
2026-04-03
市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest rebound in March nonfarm payrolls, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 35.5% for 100k+, 31.0% for 50k–100k, and 26.0% for 0–50k, reflecting uncertainty after February's surprise -92,000 decline amid a 4.4% unemployment rate. Today's ADP report showing +62,000 private-sector jobs—above the 40,000 consensus—provided a key lift, signaling steady hiring in health care despite manufacturing weakness (ISM employment at 48.8). Stable jobless claims (210,000 initial, continuing at 1.819 million low) underpin resilience, but economist forecasts cluster around 55,000–60,000 ahead of Friday's BLS release, where revisions and strike rebounds could swing outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
交易量
$18,075
結束日期
2026-04-03
市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月份新增了多少工作？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "100k+" at 35%, followed by "50k – 100k" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月份新增了多少工作？" has generated $18.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月份新增了多少工作？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月份新增了多少工作？" is "100k+" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50k – 100k" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月份新增了多少工作？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.