Portugal's elite roster, headlined by Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, and a deep midfield, drives its 65.5% implied probability as Group K winner, bolstered by top-five FIFA ranking and unbeaten UEFA qualifying run. Colombia trails at 30% on surging CONMEBOL form—unbeaten in 28 matches through October qualifiers—with Luis Díaz and Jhon Durán fueling trader optimism amid favorable group draw reactions post-December 13. Uzbekistan (1.3%) and the DRC/Jamaica/New Caledonia trio (3.1%) lag due to inferior rankings (60+ globally), limited World Cup pedigree, and weaker recent friendlies, though upsets remain possible in the compact three-team format advancing top two plus host wild cards.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於葡萄牙 67%
哥倫比亞 30%
剛果/牙買加/新喀里多尼亞 3.1%
烏茲別克 1.3%
$15,804 交易量
$15,804 交易量
葡萄牙
67%
哥倫比亞
30%
剛果/牙買加/新喀里多尼亞
3%
烏茲別克
1%
葡萄牙 67%
哥倫比亞 30%
剛果/牙買加/新喀里多尼亞 3.1%
烏茲別克 1.3%
$15,804 交易量
$15,804 交易量
葡萄牙
67%
哥倫比亞
30%
剛果/牙買加/新喀里多尼亞
3%
烏茲別克
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Portugal's elite roster, headlined by Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, and a deep midfield, drives its 65.5% implied probability as Group K winner, bolstered by top-five FIFA ranking and unbeaten UEFA qualifying run. Colombia trails at 30% on surging CONMEBOL form—unbeaten in 28 matches through October qualifiers—with Luis Díaz and Jhon Durán fueling trader optimism amid favorable group draw reactions post-December 13. Uzbekistan (1.3%) and the DRC/Jamaica/New Caledonia trio (3.1%) lag due to inferior rankings (60+ globally), limited World Cup pedigree, and weaker recent friendlies, though upsets remain possible in the compact three-team format advancing top two plus host wild cards.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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