FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍

Name: FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍
Start: 2025-12-06T00:24:24.985Z
End: 2026-06-27T00:00:00.000Z

運動·足球

FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍

法國 67%

挪威 22%

塞內加爾 9%

BOL/IRQ/SUR 1.9%

$33,150 交易量

Jun 27, 2026

法國

$19,625 交易量

67%

挪威

$0 交易量

22%

塞內加爾

$0 交易量

BOL/IRQ/SUR

$13,525 交易量

法國 67%

挪威 22%

塞內加爾 9%

BOL/IRQ/SUR 1.9%

$33,150 交易量

Jun 27, 2026

法國

$19,625 交易量

67%

挪威

$0 交易量

22%

塞內加爾

$0 交易量

BOL/IRQ/SUR

$13,525 交易量

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

France dominates trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup Group I, fueled by their elite squad depth, Mbappé-led attack, and unbeaten run in recent internationals, giving them a clear edge over continental rivals. Norway trails at 22%, buoyed by Erling Haaland's scoring form and Ødegaard's creativity, with strong qualifying momentum positioning them as viable challengers despite defensive vulnerabilities. Senegal holds 9% on Sadio Mané's influence and robust CAF performances, though European talent gap looms large. Bolivia, Iraq, and Suriname languish at 1.9% combined, hampered by inferior rankings and limited firepower. No major injuries reported recently, but France's rest advantage post-club season sharpens their favoritism amid grueling group fixtures.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 24, 2026, 12:14 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "法國" at 67%, followed by "挪威" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍" has generated $33.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍" is "法國" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "挪威" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $33.1K traded on “FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 67¢ for "法國" in the "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 67% chance that "法國" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 67¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 33¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 27, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍

FIFA世界杯第一組冠軍

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Frequently Asked Questions

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