Mercedes tops trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability for pole position at Suzuka after dominating FP2 with George Russell's blistering lap ahead of teammate Lewis Hamilton, showcasing superior single-lap pace through the circuit's high-speed sectors like 130R and Spoon Curve. Ferrari holds 25.5% on Charles Leclerc's consistent P2 times, bolstered by recent aero tweaks, while McLaren sits at 14% reflecting Lando Norris's strong Q3 potential but tyre management concerns in hotter FP2 conditions. Red Bull's lowly 1.7% stems from Max Verstappen's balance struggles and delayed floor upgrades failing to gel in practice, shifting sentiment toward Mercedes' refined setup amid clear qualifying weather.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Mercedes 91%
Mclaren Mastercard 28%
Ferrari 18%
Williams 11.2%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
Mercedes
80%
Mclaren Mastercard
28%
Ferrari
18%
Williams
11%
Audi Revolut
10%
Aston Martin
8%
Tgr Haas
2%
Red Bull
2%
Alpine
2%
Racing Bulls
1%
Cadillac
<1%
Mercedes 91%
Mclaren Mastercard 28%
Ferrari 18%
Williams 11.2%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
Mercedes
$132 交易量
80%
Mclaren Mastercard
$0 交易量
28%
Ferrari
$25 交易量
18%
Williams
$93 交易量
11%
Audi Revolut
$0 交易量
10%
Aston Martin
$1,068 交易量
8%
Tgr Haas
$1,246 交易量
2%
Red Bull
$132 交易量
2%
Alpine
$1,133 交易量
2%
Racing Bulls
$44 交易量
1%
Cadillac
$1,619 交易量
<1%
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes tops trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability for pole position at Suzuka after dominating FP2 with George Russell's blistering lap ahead of teammate Lewis Hamilton, showcasing superior single-lap pace through the circuit's high-speed sectors like 130R and Spoon Curve. Ferrari holds 25.5% on Charles Leclerc's consistent P2 times, bolstered by recent aero tweaks, while McLaren sits at 14% reflecting Lando Norris's strong Q3 potential but tyre management concerns in hotter FP2 conditions. Red Bull's lowly 1.7% stems from Max Verstappen's balance struggles and delayed floor upgrades failing to gel in practice, shifting sentiment toward Mercedes' refined setup amid clear qualifying weather.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
交易量
$5,492結束日期
Apr 4, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes tops trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability for pole position at Suzuka after dominating FP2 with George Russell's blistering lap ahead of teammate Lewis Hamilton, showcasing superior single-lap pace through the circuit's high-speed sectors like 130R and Spoon Curve. Ferrari holds 25.5% on Charles Leclerc's consistent P2 times, bolstered by recent aero tweaks, while McLaren sits at 14% reflecting Lando Norris's strong Q3 potential but tyre management concerns in hotter FP2 conditions. Red Bull's lowly 1.7% stems from Max Verstappen's balance struggles and delayed floor upgrades failing to gel in practice, shifting sentiment toward Mercedes' refined setup amid clear qualifying weather.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
交易量
$5,492結束日期
Apr 4, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes tops trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability for pole position at Suzuka after dominating FP2 with George Russell's blistering lap ahead of teammate Lewis Hamilton, showcasing superior single-lap pace through the circuit's high-speed sectors like 130R and Spoon Curve. Ferrari holds 25.5% on Charles Leclerc's consistent P2 times, bolstered by recent aero tweaks, while McLaren sits at 14% reflecting Lando Norris's strong Q3 potential but tyre management concerns in hotter FP2 conditions. Red Bull's lowly 1.7% stems from Max Verstappen's balance struggles and delayed floor upgrades failing to gel in practice, shifting sentiment toward Mercedes' refined setup amid clear qualifying weather.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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