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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

芬蘭 34.9%

法國 12.6%

丹麥 11.3%

澳洲 7.9%

Polymarket

$47,213,326 交易量

芬蘭 34.9%

法國 12.6%

丹麥 11.3%

澳洲 7.9%

Polymarket

$47,213,326 交易量

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芬蘭

$1,816,808 交易量

35%

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法國

$1,330,601 交易量

13%

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丹麥

$853,063 交易量

11%

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澳洲

$1,135,674 交易量

8%

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希臘

$1,258,248 交易量

7%

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以色列

$1,175,025 交易量

4%

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瑞典

$908,254 交易量

3%

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義大利

$1,442,403 交易量

3%

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烏克蘭

$1,069,790 交易量

2%

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羅馬尼亞

$828,775 交易量

2%

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馬耳他

$925,960 交易量

1%

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捷克

$752,146 交易量

1%

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賽普勒斯

$1,054,273 交易量

1%

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保加利亞

$1,052,893 交易量

1%

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摩爾多瓦

$1,036,234 交易量

1%

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德國

$808,439 交易量

1%

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英國

$670,136 交易量

1%

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比利時

$1,180,772 交易量

1%

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克羅地亞

$904,626 交易量

1%

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挪威

$1,224,178 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$2,165,174 交易量

1%

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盧森堡

$923,533 交易量

1%

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阿爾巴尼亞

$1,786,161 交易量

<1%

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阿塞拜疆

$2,234,034 交易量

<1%

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立陶宛

$1,362,773 交易量

<1%

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塞爾維亞

$756,826 交易量

<1%

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奧地利

$1,636,280 交易量

<1%

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愛沙尼亞

$2,115,703 交易量

<1%

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拉脫維亞

$1,658,520 交易量

<1%

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葡萄牙

$1,858,484 交易量

<1%

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聖馬力諾

$1,948,944 交易量

<1%

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亞美尼亞

$1,766,166 交易量

<1%

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喬治亞

$1,698,250 交易量

<1%

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蒙特內哥羅

$2,227,765 交易量

<1%

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波蘭

$1,649,069 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.9% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their February 28 UMK win with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," featuring violin flair and a signature flamethrower staging that has dominated fan polls and viral clips. France's rising soprano Monroe follows at 12.6% after her March 6 reveal of the anthemic "Regarde!," buoyed by strong streaming buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.3%) impressed with emotive ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from Melodi Grand Prix. Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.0%) leverages pop star power via "Eclipse," and Greece's Akylas (6.6%) rides Spotify virality with multilingual "Ferto." The wide-open field reflects only partial national selections complete, with powerhouses like Sweden and Italy pending Sanremo outcomes ahead of Vienna semis in May.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.9% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their February 28 UMK win with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," featuring violin flair and a signature flamethrower staging that has dominated fan polls and viral clips. France's rising soprano Monroe follows at 12.6% after her March 6 reveal of the anthemic "Regarde!," buoyed by strong streaming buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.3%) impressed with emotive ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from Melodi Grand Prix. Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.0%) leverages pop star power via "Eclipse," and Greece's Akylas (6.6%) rides Spotify virality with multilingual "Ferto." The wide-open field reflects only partial national selections complete, with powerhouses like Sweden and Italy pending Sanremo outcomes ahead of Vienna semis in May.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.9% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their February 28 UMK win with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," featuring violin flair and a signature flamethrower staging that has dominated fan polls and viral clips. France's rising soprano Monroe follows at 12.6% after her March 6 reveal of the anthemic "Regarde!," buoyed by strong streaming buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.3%) impressed with emotive ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from Melodi Grand Prix. Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.0%) leverages pop star power via "Eclipse," and Greece's Akylas (6.6%) rides Spotify virality with multilingual "Ferto." The wide-open field reflects only partial national selections complete, with powerhouses like Sweden and Italy pending Sanremo outcomes ahead of Vienna semis in May.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.9% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their February 28 UMK win with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," featuring violin flair and a signature flamethrower staging that has dominated fan polls and viral clips. France's rising soprano Monroe follows at 12.6% after her March 6 reveal of the anthemic "Regarde!," buoyed by strong streaming buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.3%) impressed with emotive ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from Melodi Grand Prix. Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.0%) leverages pop star power via "Eclipse," and Greece's Akylas (6.6%) rides Spotify virality with multilingual "Ferto." The wide-open field reflects only partial national selections complete, with powerhouses like Sweden and Italy pending Sanremo outcomes ahead of Vienna semis in May.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "芬蘭" at 35%, followed by "法國" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" has generated $47.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is "芬蘭" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.