Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.9% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their February 28 UMK win with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," featuring violin flair and a signature flamethrower staging that has dominated fan polls and viral clips. France's rising soprano Monroe follows at 12.6% after her March 6 reveal of the anthemic "Regarde!," buoyed by strong streaming buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.3%) impressed with emotive ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from Melodi Grand Prix. Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.0%) leverages pop star power via "Eclipse," and Greece's Akylas (6.6%) rides Spotify virality with multilingual "Ferto." The wide-open field reflects only partial national selections complete, with powerhouses like Sweden and Italy pending Sanremo outcomes ahead of Vienna semis in May.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
芬蘭 34.9%
法國 12.6%
丹麥 11.3%
澳洲 7.9%
$47,213,326 交易量
$47,213,326 交易量

芬蘭
35%

法國
13%

丹麥
11%

澳洲
8%

希臘
7%

以色列
4%

瑞典
3%

義大利
3%

烏克蘭
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

馬耳他
1%

捷克
1%

賽普勒斯
1%

保加利亞
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

德國
1%

英國
1%

比利時
1%

克羅地亞
1%

挪威
1%

瑞士
1%

盧森堡
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%
芬蘭 34.9%
法國 12.6%
丹麥 11.3%
澳洲 7.9%
$47,213,326 交易量
$47,213,326 交易量

芬蘭
35%

法國
13%

丹麥
11%

澳洲
8%

希臘
7%

以色列
4%

瑞典
3%

義大利
3%

烏克蘭
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

馬耳他
1%

捷克
1%

賽普勒斯
1%

保加利亞
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

德國
1%

英國
1%

比利時
1%

克羅地亞
1%

挪威
1%

瑞士
1%

盧森堡
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.9% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their February 28 UMK win with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," featuring violin flair and a signature flamethrower staging that has dominated fan polls and viral clips. France's rising soprano Monroe follows at 12.6% after her March 6 reveal of the anthemic "Regarde!," buoyed by strong streaming buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.3%) impressed with emotive ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from Melodi Grand Prix. Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.0%) leverages pop star power via "Eclipse," and Greece's Akylas (6.6%) rides Spotify virality with multilingual "Ferto." The wide-open field reflects only partial national selections complete, with powerhouses like Sweden and Italy pending Sanremo outcomes ahead of Vienna semis in May.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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