Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.7% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna after their landslide UMK victory on February 28, blending classical violin flair with high-energy pop in "Liekinheitin" to secure strong jury scores and massive televote appeal—echoing past Nordic winners like Sweden's 2015 triumph. France's Monroe follows at 13.1% with the sleek "Look!", buoyed by early jury favoritism, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.8% on melodic strengths and Australia's entry lurks at 8.3% amid Down Under buzz. This wide-open field reflects just a handful of confirmed national final winners amid ongoing selections across 40+ countries, with semi-final allocations set and full rehearsals in April poised to shift momentum further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
芬蘭 34.7%
法國 13.2%
丹麥 11.7%
澳洲 8.3%
$45,368,145 交易量
$45,368,145 交易量

芬蘭
35%

法國
13%

丹麥
12%

澳洲
8%

希臘
6%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

義大利
3%

烏克蘭
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

馬耳他
1%

捷克
1%

賽普勒斯
1%

保加利亞
1%

德國
1%

英國
1%

比利時
1%

克羅地亞
1%

盧森堡
1%

挪威
1%

塞爾維亞
1%

瑞士
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

摩爾多瓦
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%
芬蘭 34.7%
法國 13.2%
丹麥 11.7%
澳洲 8.3%
$45,368,145 交易量
$45,368,145 交易量

芬蘭
35%

法國
13%

丹麥
12%

澳洲
8%

希臘
6%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

義大利
3%

烏克蘭
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

馬耳他
1%

捷克
1%

賽普勒斯
1%

保加利亞
1%

德國
1%

英國
1%

比利時
1%

克羅地亞
1%

盧森堡
1%

挪威
1%

塞爾維亞
1%

瑞士
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

摩爾多瓦
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.7% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna after their landslide UMK victory on February 28, blending classical violin flair with high-energy pop in "Liekinheitin" to secure strong jury scores and massive televote appeal—echoing past Nordic winners like Sweden's 2015 triumph. France's Monroe follows at 13.1% with the sleek "Look!", buoyed by early jury favoritism, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.8% on melodic strengths and Australia's entry lurks at 8.3% amid Down Under buzz. This wide-open field reflects just a handful of confirmed national final winners amid ongoing selections across 40+ countries, with semi-final allocations set and full rehearsals in April poised to shift momentum further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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