Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their landslide UMK win on February 28 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," blending violin flair and pop hooks that analysts project strong jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent OGAE fan poll 12 points from France and top rankings in predictive models like The Model. France trails at 13% on Monroe's internally selected entry, praised for polished production and preview buzz, while Denmark's 10.5% reflects Dansk Melodi Grand Prix momentum amid Nordic frontrunner history. Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" at 7.8%, and Greece lurks as a diaspora vote sleeper at 6.8%. With national selections largely complete, Vienna rehearsals and semi-final draw will test staging and running order in this volatile field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
芬蘭 34.9%
法國 13.1%
丹麥 10.7%
澳洲 7.8%
$50,600,661 交易量
$50,600,661 交易量

芬蘭
35%

法國
13%

丹麥
11%

澳洲
8%

希臘
7%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

烏克蘭
3%

義大利
3%

羅馬尼亞
2%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

捷克
1%

保加利亞
1%

德國
1%

瑞士
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

盧森堡
1%

克羅地亞
1%

比利時
1%

英國
1%

挪威
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%
芬蘭 34.9%
法國 13.1%
丹麥 10.7%
澳洲 7.8%
$50,600,661 交易量
$50,600,661 交易量

芬蘭
35%

法國
13%

丹麥
11%

澳洲
8%

希臘
7%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

烏克蘭
3%

義大利
3%

羅馬尼亞
2%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

捷克
1%

保加利亞
1%

德國
1%

瑞士
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

盧森堡
1%

克羅地亞
1%

比利時
1%

英國
1%

挪威
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their landslide UMK win on February 28 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," blending violin flair and pop hooks that analysts project strong jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent OGAE fan poll 12 points from France and top rankings in predictive models like The Model. France trails at 13% on Monroe's internally selected entry, praised for polished production and preview buzz, while Denmark's 10.5% reflects Dansk Melodi Grand Prix momentum amid Nordic frontrunner history. Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" at 7.8%, and Greece lurks as a diaspora vote sleeper at 6.8%. With national selections largely complete, Vienna rehearsals and semi-final draw will test staging and running order in this volatile field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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