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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

芬蘭 34.9%

法國 13.1%

丹麥 10.7%

澳洲 7.8%

Polymarket

$50,600,661 交易量

芬蘭 34.9%

法國 13.1%

丹麥 10.7%

澳洲 7.8%

Polymarket

$50,600,661 交易量

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芬蘭

$1,829,310 交易量

35%

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法國

$1,384,284 交易量

13%

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丹麥

$897,899 交易量

11%

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澳洲

$1,154,099 交易量

8%

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希臘

$1,286,391 交易量

7%

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以色列

$1,205,546 交易量

4%

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瑞典

$929,142 交易量

4%

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烏克蘭

$1,098,000 交易量

3%

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義大利

$1,495,202 交易量

3%

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羅馬尼亞

$880,867 交易量

2%

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賽普勒斯

$1,108,768 交易量

1%

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馬耳他

$1,003,046 交易量

1%

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捷克

$758,899 交易量

1%

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保加利亞

$1,103,763 交易量

1%

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德國

$880,076 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$2,208,463 交易量

1%

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摩爾多瓦

$1,082,216 交易量

1%

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盧森堡

$1,019,621 交易量

1%

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克羅地亞

$936,526 交易量

1%

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比利時

$1,231,515 交易量

1%

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英國

$711,662 交易量

1%

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挪威

$1,261,354 交易量

1%

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阿爾巴尼亞

$1,937,831 交易量

<1%

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拉脫維亞

$2,013,792 交易量

<1%

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亞美尼亞

$2,003,899 交易量

<1%

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阿塞拜疆

$2,377,011 交易量

<1%

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喬治亞

$2,055,614 交易量

<1%

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立陶宛

$1,503,286 交易量

<1%

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蒙特內哥羅

$2,596,528 交易量

<1%

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波蘭

$1,886,620 交易量

<1%

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塞爾維亞

$767,564 交易量

<1%

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奧地利

$1,760,703 交易量

<1%

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愛沙尼亞

$2,262,686 交易量

<1%

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葡萄牙

$1,883,795 交易量

<1%

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聖馬力諾

$2,088,211 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their landslide UMK win on February 28 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," blending violin flair and pop hooks that analysts project strong jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent OGAE fan poll 12 points from France and top rankings in predictive models like The Model. France trails at 13% on Monroe's internally selected entry, praised for polished production and preview buzz, while Denmark's 10.5% reflects Dansk Melodi Grand Prix momentum amid Nordic frontrunner history. Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" at 7.8%, and Greece lurks as a diaspora vote sleeper at 6.8%. With national selections largely complete, Vienna rehearsals and semi-final draw will test staging and running order in this volatile field.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their landslide UMK win on February 28 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," blending violin flair and pop hooks that analysts project strong jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent OGAE fan poll 12 points from France and top rankings in predictive models like The Model. France trails at 13% on Monroe's internally selected entry, praised for polished production and preview buzz, while Denmark's 10.5% reflects Dansk Melodi Grand Prix momentum amid Nordic frontrunner history. Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" at 7.8%, and Greece lurks as a diaspora vote sleeper at 6.8%. With national selections largely complete, Vienna rehearsals and semi-final draw will test staging and running order in this volatile field.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their landslide UMK win on February 28 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," blending violin flair and pop hooks that analysts project strong jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent OGAE fan poll 12 points from France and top rankings in predictive models like The Model. France trails at 13% on Monroe's internally selected entry, praised for polished production and preview buzz, while Denmark's 10.5% reflects Dansk Melodi Grand Prix momentum amid Nordic frontrunner history. Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" at 7.8%, and Greece lurks as a diaspora vote sleeper at 6.8%. With national selections largely complete, Vienna rehearsals and semi-final draw will test staging and running order in this volatile field.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their landslide UMK win on February 28 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," blending violin flair and pop hooks that analysts project strong jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent OGAE fan poll 12 points from France and top rankings in predictive models like The Model. France trails at 13% on Monroe's internally selected entry, praised for polished production and preview buzz, while Denmark's 10.5% reflects Dansk Melodi Grand Prix momentum amid Nordic frontrunner history. Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" at 7.8%, and Greece lurks as a diaspora vote sleeper at 6.8%. With national selections largely complete, Vienna rehearsals and semi-final draw will test staging and running order in this volatile field.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "芬蘭" at 35%, followed by "法國" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" has generated $50.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is "芬蘭" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.