Trader consensus crowns Finland the frontrunner at 39% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which clinched Finland's UMK national final on February 28 with its explosive chorus, dynamic staging, and rare jury-televote balance that wowed early previews. France's Monroe surges to 11% on the vocal prowess of "Regarde!," while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 10% via the haunting allure of "Før Vi Går Hjem," both gaining from mid-March full-song reveals and rising bookmaker alignments. Greece and Australia's Delta Goodrem entries add competitive pop energy, but Finland's consistent lead persists amid rehearsals. Watch semi-finals May 12-14 and Vienna final May 16 for shifts, as Eurovision juries and televotes remain unpredictable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
芬蘭 39.0%
法國 11.0%
丹麥 10.2%
希臘 6.8%
$67,341,007 交易量
$67,341,007 交易量

芬蘭
39%

法國
11%

丹麥
10%

希臘
7%

澳洲
7%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

羅馬尼亞
4%

義大利
3%

烏克蘭
2%

賽普勒斯
1%

捷克
1%

馬耳他
1%

保加利亞
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

克羅地亞
1%

盧森堡
1%

挪威
1%

立陶宛
1%

比利時
<1%

德國
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

瑞士
<1%

英國
<1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%
芬蘭 39.0%
法國 11.0%
丹麥 10.2%
希臘 6.8%
$67,341,007 交易量
$67,341,007 交易量

芬蘭
39%

法國
11%

丹麥
10%

希臘
7%

澳洲
7%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

羅馬尼亞
4%

義大利
3%

烏克蘭
2%

賽普勒斯
1%

捷克
1%

馬耳他
1%

保加利亞
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

克羅地亞
1%

盧森堡
1%

挪威
1%

立陶宛
1%

比利時
<1%

德國
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

瑞士
<1%

英國
<1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus crowns Finland the frontrunner at 39% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which clinched Finland's UMK national final on February 28 with its explosive chorus, dynamic staging, and rare jury-televote balance that wowed early previews. France's Monroe surges to 11% on the vocal prowess of "Regarde!," while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 10% via the haunting allure of "Før Vi Går Hjem," both gaining from mid-March full-song reveals and rising bookmaker alignments. Greece and Australia's Delta Goodrem entries add competitive pop energy, but Finland's consistent lead persists amid rehearsals. Watch semi-finals May 12-14 and Vienna final May 16 for shifts, as Eurovision juries and televotes remain unpredictable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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