Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a bold, fiery track blending violin virtuosity and high-energy staging that dominated both jury and public votes in the national final last month. Recent buzz from planned performance tweaks, OGAE fan poll endorsements like France's 12 points, and positive reactions to rehearsal clips have solidified their frontrunner status, evoking past Nordic televote surges. France's rising soprano Monroe follows at 13% with the soaring "Regarde!" unveiled March 6, while Denmark's emotive ballad "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.1%, buoyed by DMGP momentum. As remaining national selections wrap and Vienna rehearsals loom in May, late entrants could shift the dynamic.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
芬蘭 34.9%
法國 13.1%
丹麥 11.1%
澳洲 7.8%
$49,428,948 交易量
$49,428,948 交易量

芬蘭
35%

法國
13%

丹麥
11%

澳洲
8%

希臘
7%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

義大利
2%

烏克蘭
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

捷克
1%

保加利亞
1%

瑞士
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

德國
1%

盧森堡
1%

英國
1%

比利時
1%

克羅地亞
1%

挪威
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

波蘭
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%
芬蘭 34.9%
法國 13.1%
丹麥 11.1%
澳洲 7.8%
$49,428,948 交易量
$49,428,948 交易量

芬蘭
35%

法國
13%

丹麥
11%

澳洲
8%

希臘
7%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

義大利
2%

烏克蘭
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

捷克
1%

保加利亞
1%

瑞士
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

德國
1%

盧森堡
1%

英國
1%

比利時
1%

克羅地亞
1%

挪威
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

波蘭
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a bold, fiery track blending violin virtuosity and high-energy staging that dominated both jury and public votes in the national final last month. Recent buzz from planned performance tweaks, OGAE fan poll endorsements like France's 12 points, and positive reactions to rehearsal clips have solidified their frontrunner status, evoking past Nordic televote surges. France's rising soprano Monroe follows at 13% with the soaring "Regarde!" unveiled March 6, while Denmark's emotive ballad "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.1%, buoyed by DMGP momentum. As remaining national selections wrap and Vienna rehearsals loom in May, late entrants could shift the dynamic.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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