Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners with "Liekinheitin" at 34.8% implied probability on Polymarket, propelled by the track's infectious chorus, explosive live rehearsals showcasing high-energy "wow" moments, and ideal balance appealing to both jury and televote—echoing past Nordic winners like Sweden's Loreen. France's Monroe trails at 13.2% with "Regarde," buoyed by promises of dramatic, theatrical staging diverging from standard pop entries, while Denmark (10.3%) benefits from strong national selection buzz. Australia's 7.9% reflects consistent fan support amid a fragmented field, but trader consensus highlights Finland's edge in recent prediction models and Semi Final 1 odds ahead of Vienna rehearsals and the May 12-16 showdown at Wiener Stadthalle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
芬蘭 34.8%
法國 13.2%
丹麥 10.3%
澳洲 7.9%
$50,007,524 交易量
$50,007,524 交易量

芬蘭
35%

法國
13%

丹麥
10%

澳洲
8%

希臘
7%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

義大利
2%

烏克蘭
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

捷克
1%

保加利亞
1%

瑞士
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

德國
1%

盧森堡
1%

英國
1%

克羅地亞
1%

比利時
1%

挪威
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%
芬蘭 34.8%
法國 13.2%
丹麥 10.3%
澳洲 7.9%
$50,007,524 交易量
$50,007,524 交易量

芬蘭
35%

法國
13%

丹麥
10%

澳洲
8%

希臘
7%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

義大利
2%

烏克蘭
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

捷克
1%

保加利亞
1%

瑞士
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

德國
1%

盧森堡
1%

英國
1%

克羅地亞
1%

比利時
1%

挪威
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners with "Liekinheitin" at 34.8% implied probability on Polymarket, propelled by the track's infectious chorus, explosive live rehearsals showcasing high-energy "wow" moments, and ideal balance appealing to both jury and televote—echoing past Nordic winners like Sweden's Loreen. France's Monroe trails at 13.2% with "Regarde," buoyed by promises of dramatic, theatrical staging diverging from standard pop entries, while Denmark (10.3%) benefits from strong national selection buzz. Australia's 7.9% reflects consistent fan support amid a fragmented field, but trader consensus highlights Finland's edge in recent prediction models and Semi Final 1 odds ahead of Vienna rehearsals and the May 12-16 showdown at Wiener Stadthalle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions