Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, fueled by its February 28 UMK triumph blending virtuoso violin with theatrical flamethrower visuals that dominated both jury and public votes, sparking viral buzz and early model projections. France's Monroe follows at 13.2% after "Regarde!"'s recent operatic reveal propelled jury favoritism, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard holds 10.3% on melodic televote appeal. Australia (7.9%) eyes jury strength potentially via Delta Goodrem, and Greece (6.6%) gains from fan polls amid ethnic diaspora support. With all 35 entries released, trader consensus highlights jury-televote divergences and staging previews as pivotal ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 semis and final.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
芬蘭 34.8%
法國 13.2%
丹麥 10.3%
澳洲 7.9%
$50,058,196 交易量
$50,058,196 交易量

芬蘭
35%

法國
13%

丹麥
10%

澳洲
8%

希臘
7%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

義大利
2%

烏克蘭
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

捷克
1%

保加利亞
1%

瑞士
1%

德國
1%

盧森堡
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

英國
1%

比利時
1%

克羅地亞
1%

挪威
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%
芬蘭 34.8%
法國 13.2%
丹麥 10.3%
澳洲 7.9%
$50,058,196 交易量
$50,058,196 交易量

芬蘭
35%

法國
13%

丹麥
10%

澳洲
8%

希臘
7%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

義大利
2%

烏克蘭
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

捷克
1%

保加利亞
1%

瑞士
1%

德國
1%

盧森堡
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

英國
1%

比利時
1%

克羅地亞
1%

挪威
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, fueled by its February 28 UMK triumph blending virtuoso violin with theatrical flamethrower visuals that dominated both jury and public votes, sparking viral buzz and early model projections. France's Monroe follows at 13.2% after "Regarde!"'s recent operatic reveal propelled jury favoritism, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard holds 10.3% on melodic televote appeal. Australia (7.9%) eyes jury strength potentially via Delta Goodrem, and Greece (6.6%) gains from fan polls amid ethnic diaspora support. With all 35 entries released, trader consensus highlights jury-televote divergences and staging previews as pivotal ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 semis and final.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions