With Eurovision 2025 looming in Basel, Switzerland on May 13–17, the 2026 contest's host nation—and thus its auto-qualifying advantage—hinges on that winner, injecting uncertainty into early Top 10 markets. Trader consensus favors perennial frontrunners like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and the Big 5 (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) for their historical televote strength, strong national selections, and guaranteed grand final spots, reflecting patterns from recent editions where staging quality and song craftsmanship dominate. No major 2026 developments have emerged in the past month amid 2025 focus, but upcoming national broadcaster announcements (typically starting late 2025) and the 2025 outcome could spark momentum shifts for repeat performers or dark horses. Markets remain fluid, rewarding savvy bets on precursor successes like Melodifestivalen or Vidbir results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$57,129 交易量

Finland
89%

Israel
86%

Denmark
79%

Greece
78%

France
76%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
72%

Australia
70%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Czechia
38%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
34%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Luxembourg
20%

Norway
19%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
16%

Serbia
14%

Portugal
13%

Switzerland
13%

Lithuania
13%

Germany
12%

Montenegro
12%

Belgium
12%

Georgia
11%

Azerbaijan
9%

Poland
13%

Estonia
7%

San Marino
7%

Austria
5%
$57,129 交易量

Finland
89%

Israel
86%

Denmark
79%

Greece
78%

France
76%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
72%

Australia
70%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Czechia
38%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Bulgaria
41%

Latvia
34%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Luxembourg
20%

Norway
19%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
16%

Serbia
14%

Portugal
13%

Switzerland
13%

Lithuania
13%

Germany
12%

Montenegro
12%

Belgium
12%

Georgia
11%

Azerbaijan
9%

Poland
13%

Estonia
7%

San Marino
7%

Austria
5%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...With Eurovision 2025 looming in Basel, Switzerland on May 13–17, the 2026 contest's host nation—and thus its auto-qualifying advantage—hinges on that winner, injecting uncertainty into early Top 10 markets. Trader consensus favors perennial frontrunners like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and the Big 5 (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) for their historical televote strength, strong national selections, and guaranteed grand final spots, reflecting patterns from recent editions where staging quality and song craftsmanship dominate. No major 2026 developments have emerged in the past month amid 2025 focus, but upcoming national broadcaster announcements (typically starting late 2025) and the 2025 outcome could spark momentum shifts for repeat performers or dark horses. Markets remain fluid, rewarding savvy bets on precursor successes like Melodifestivalen or Vidbir results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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