Trader consensus positions Israel as the frontrunner at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 televote winner, reflecting its perennial televote dominance fueled by a vast global diaspora and high-stakes ballad-or-banger entries that ignite fan passion, as evidenced by topping the 2024 public vote despite a fifth-place overall finish. Greece trails at 18%, leveraging strong Mediterranean and Balkan support for emotive pop anthems, while Finland's 11% stems from the Nordic momentum sparked by Käärijä's 2023 televote runner-up surge. No national selections have launched yet for 2026, leaving odds shaped by historical patterns and early fan buzz, with 2025's Basel contest outcomes poised to reshape trajectories amid geopolitical sensitivities and entry reveals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 19%
Finland 11%
France 5.7%
$2,747,072 交易量
$2,747,072 交易量

Israel
36%

Greece
19%

Finland
11%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Sweden
4%

Moldova
4%

Ukraine
3%

Germany
2%

Cyprus
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Romania
2%

Italy
2%

Montenegro
1%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 19%
Finland 11%
France 5.7%
$2,747,072 交易量
$2,747,072 交易量

Israel
36%

Greece
19%

Finland
11%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Sweden
4%

Moldova
4%

Ukraine
3%

Germany
2%

Cyprus
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Romania
2%

Italy
2%

Montenegro
1%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Israel as the frontrunner at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 televote winner, reflecting its perennial televote dominance fueled by a vast global diaspora and high-stakes ballad-or-banger entries that ignite fan passion, as evidenced by topping the 2024 public vote despite a fifth-place overall finish. Greece trails at 18%, leveraging strong Mediterranean and Balkan support for emotive pop anthems, while Finland's 11% stems from the Nordic momentum sparked by Käärijä's 2023 televote runner-up surge. No national selections have launched yet for 2026, leaving odds shaped by historical patterns and early fan buzz, with 2025's Basel contest outcomes poised to reshape trajectories amid geopolitical sensitivities and entry reveals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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