Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the clear frontrunner for the Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 35% implied probability, driven by its consistent dominance in public voting blocs—fueled by a massive global diaspora and fervent fan campaigns, as seen in Eden Golan's runner-up televote haul in 2024 despite a low jury score. Greece (18%) and Finland (11%) follow as perennial televote powerhouses, leveraging Mediterranean alliances and Nordic pop appeal from past hits like Käärijä's 2023 surge. With Eurovision 2025's Basel contest fresh in voters' minds, these odds reflect post-contest sentiment amid no confirmed 2026 national selections yet; early national finals starting late 2025 into 2026 will be pivotal catalysts for momentum shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 35%
Greece 18%
Finland 11%
France 5.7%
$2,738,072 交易量
$2,738,072 交易量

Israel
35%

Greece
18%

Finland
11%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Sweden
4%

Moldova
4%

Ukraine
3%

Germany
2%

Cyprus
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Romania
2%

Italy
2%

Montenegro
1%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 35%
Greece 18%
Finland 11%
France 5.7%
$2,738,072 交易量
$2,738,072 交易量

Israel
35%

Greece
18%

Finland
11%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Sweden
4%

Moldova
4%

Ukraine
3%

Germany
2%

Cyprus
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Romania
2%

Italy
2%

Montenegro
1%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the clear frontrunner for the Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 35% implied probability, driven by its consistent dominance in public voting blocs—fueled by a massive global diaspora and fervent fan campaigns, as seen in Eden Golan's runner-up televote haul in 2024 despite a low jury score. Greece (18%) and Finland (11%) follow as perennial televote powerhouses, leveraging Mediterranean alliances and Nordic pop appeal from past hits like Käärijä's 2023 surge. With Eurovision 2025's Basel contest fresh in voters' minds, these odds reflect post-contest sentiment amid no confirmed 2026 national selections yet; early national finals starting late 2025 into 2026 will be pivotal catalysts for momentum shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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