Israel commands a 36.5% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner, driven by its unmatched historical fan mobilization—most notably 357 televote points in the 2024 grand final amid fierce diaspora campaigns and international support that propelled Eden Golan to a near-win despite controversy. Greece trails at 18% on consistent melodic pop appeal and strong 2024 showing, while Finland's 11.5% reflects dedicated niche backing for alternative acts like those from Käärijä's 2023 surge. With Eurovision 2025 set for May in Basel determining the 2026 host city, these early odds capture trader consensus on proven televote engines, though national selections won't kick off until late 2025, leaving ample room for new entries to disrupt the hierarchy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 37%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 5.8%
$3,279,366 交易量
$3,279,366 交易量
Israel
37%
Greece
18%
Finland
12%
France
6%
Denmark
5%
Ukraine
4%
Sweden
4%
Moldova
3%
Germany
2%
Italy
2%
Bulgaria
1%
Cyprus
1%
Switzerland
1%
Australia
1%
Romania
1%
Poland
1%
Malta
1%
Montenegro
1%
San Marino
1%
Croatia
1%
Austria
1%
Belgium
1%
Luxembourg
1%
Estonia
1%
Azerbaijan
1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Israel 37%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 5.8%
$3,279,366 交易量
$3,279,366 交易量
Israel
37%
Greece
18%
Finland
12%
France
6%
Denmark
5%
Ukraine
4%
Sweden
4%
Moldova
3%
Germany
2%
Italy
2%
Bulgaria
1%
Cyprus
1%
Switzerland
1%
Australia
1%
Romania
1%
Poland
1%
Malta
1%
Montenegro
1%
San Marino
1%
Croatia
1%
Austria
1%
Belgium
1%
Luxembourg
1%
Estonia
1%
Azerbaijan
1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間： Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel commands a 36.5% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner, driven by its unmatched historical fan mobilization—most notably 357 televote points in the 2024 grand final amid fierce diaspora campaigns and international support that propelled Eden Golan to a near-win despite controversy. Greece trails at 18% on consistent melodic pop appeal and strong 2024 showing, while Finland's 11.5% reflects dedicated niche backing for alternative acts like those from Käärijä's 2023 surge. With Eurovision 2025 set for May in Basel determining the 2026 host city, these early odds capture trader consensus on proven televote engines, though national selections won't kick off until late 2025, leaving ample room for new entries to disrupt the hierarchy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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