Israel's Noam Bettan with "Michelle" commands a 35.5% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner, propelled by the song's March 5 unveiling, which has ignited strong early buzz among public voters drawn to its multilingual emotional ballad and Israel's historical televote strength via diaspora support. Greece's Akylas follows at 17.5% after "Ferto" triumphed in the February 15 Sing for Greece final, its high-energy multilingual track fueling viral momentum on streaming platforms. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," winner of UMK on February 28, holds 10% despite overall winner favoritism, buoyed by its violin-flamethrower spectacle, while France's Monroe debuted "Regarde!" on March 6, securing 8.1% on pop appeal. With more national finals ongoing ahead of Vienna semis in May, trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on public-vote dynamics like staging hype and diaspora blocs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 11%
France 8.1%
$4,334,353 交易量
$4,334,353 交易量

Israel
36%

Greece
18%

Finland
11%

France
8%

Denmark
4%

Ukraine
3%

Moldova
3%

Sweden
3%

Romania
2%

Italy
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Switzerland
1%

Austria
1%

Poland
1%

San Marino
1%

Germany
1%

Montenegro
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Australia
1%

Malta
1%

Cyprus
1%

Croatia
1%

Estonia
1%

Belgium
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 11%
France 8.1%
$4,334,353 交易量
$4,334,353 交易量

Israel
36%

Greece
18%

Finland
11%

France
8%

Denmark
4%

Ukraine
3%

Moldova
3%

Sweden
3%

Romania
2%

Italy
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Switzerland
1%

Austria
1%

Poland
1%

San Marino
1%

Germany
1%

Montenegro
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Australia
1%

Malta
1%

Cyprus
1%

Croatia
1%

Estonia
1%

Belgium
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's Noam Bettan with "Michelle" commands a 35.5% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner, propelled by the song's March 5 unveiling, which has ignited strong early buzz among public voters drawn to its multilingual emotional ballad and Israel's historical televote strength via diaspora support. Greece's Akylas follows at 17.5% after "Ferto" triumphed in the February 15 Sing for Greece final, its high-energy multilingual track fueling viral momentum on streaming platforms. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," winner of UMK on February 28, holds 10% despite overall winner favoritism, buoyed by its violin-flamethrower spectacle, while France's Monroe debuted "Regarde!" on March 6, securing 8.1% on pop appeal. With more national finals ongoing ahead of Vienna semis in May, trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on public-vote dynamics like staging hype and diaspora blocs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions