Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Israel as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner at 36.5% implied probability, propelled by its commanding public vote performance in recent contests—topping the 2024 televote with Eden Golan amid fervent fan support that overcame jury skepticism. Greece follows at 18%, leveraging its diaspora-driven voting bloc and melodic pop appeal from strong 2024-2025 entries, while Finland's 11.5% reflects lingering momentum from Käärijä's 2023 near-win and Nordic fan enthusiasm. With national selections yet to ramp up ahead of the 2026 event (hosted by the 2025 winner in Basel), these early odds aggregate skin-in-the-game sentiment from historical televote patterns and informal fan polls, though artist reveals, song quality, and geopolitical factors could swiftly reshape the field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 37%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 5.8%
$3,326,800 交易量
$3,326,800 交易量

Israel
37%

Greece
18%

Finland
12%

France
6%

Sweden
4%

Ukraine
4%

Denmark
4%

Moldova
3%

Bulgaria
2%

Italy
2%

Germany
1%

Cyprus
1%

Australia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Romania
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Montenegro
1%

San Marino
1%

Austria
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%
Israel 37%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 5.8%
$3,326,800 交易量
$3,326,800 交易量

Israel
37%

Greece
18%

Finland
12%

France
6%

Sweden
4%

Ukraine
4%

Denmark
4%

Moldova
3%

Bulgaria
2%

Italy
2%

Germany
1%

Cyprus
1%

Australia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Romania
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Montenegro
1%

San Marino
1%

Austria
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Israel as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner at 36.5% implied probability, propelled by its commanding public vote performance in recent contests—topping the 2024 televote with Eden Golan amid fervent fan support that overcame jury skepticism. Greece follows at 18%, leveraging its diaspora-driven voting bloc and melodic pop appeal from strong 2024-2025 entries, while Finland's 11.5% reflects lingering momentum from Käärijä's 2023 near-win and Nordic fan enthusiasm. With national selections yet to ramp up ahead of the 2026 event (hosted by the 2025 winner in Basel), these early odds aggregate skin-in-the-game sentiment from historical televote patterns and informal fan polls, though artist reveals, song quality, and geopolitical factors could swiftly reshape the field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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