Israel leads trader consensus as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner with a 34% implied probability, driven by its dominant performance in the 2024 contest where Eden Golan's "Hurricane" topped public voting amid massive diaspora support and viral buzz. Greece follows at 18%, buoyed by consistent televote strength from upbeat entries like 2024's "Zari" and a passionate fanbase, while Finland's 11% reflects lingering momentum from Käärijä's 2023 cha-cha hit "Cha Cha Cha" that electrified audiences. The wide-open field underscores early-stage uncertainty—no national selections have started, leaving song quality, staging, and geopolitical vibes as key differentiators amid competition from France, Denmark, and Moldova. Watch for first artist announcements late 2025 to shift odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 34%
Greece 18%
Finland 11%
France 6.0%
$2,500,034 交易量
$2,500,034 交易量

Israel
34%

Greece
18%

Finland
11%

France
6%

Moldova
5%

Denmark
5%

Sweden
4%

Ukraine
3%

Cyprus
2%

Germany
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Montenegro
2%

Italy
2%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Romania
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 34%
Greece 18%
Finland 11%
France 6.0%
$2,500,034 交易量
$2,500,034 交易量

Israel
34%

Greece
18%

Finland
11%

France
6%

Moldova
5%

Denmark
5%

Sweden
4%

Ukraine
3%

Cyprus
2%

Germany
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Montenegro
2%

Italy
2%

Switzerland
1%

Poland
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Romania
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel leads trader consensus as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner with a 34% implied probability, driven by its dominant performance in the 2024 contest where Eden Golan's "Hurricane" topped public voting amid massive diaspora support and viral buzz. Greece follows at 18%, buoyed by consistent televote strength from upbeat entries like 2024's "Zari" and a passionate fanbase, while Finland's 11% reflects lingering momentum from Käärijä's 2023 cha-cha hit "Cha Cha Cha" that electrified audiences. The wide-open field underscores early-stage uncertainty—no national selections have started, leaving song quality, staging, and geopolitical vibes as key differentiators amid competition from France, Denmark, and Moldova. Watch for first artist announcements late 2025 to shift odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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