The running order reveal for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final, unveiled yesterday by organizers in Vienna, has reshaped trader consensus on qualifiers from the May 12 showdown at Wiener Stadthalle. Early slots favor frontrunners like Moldova's upbeat opener "Viva, Moldova!", Sweden's "My System," Croatia's "Andromeda," Greece's "Ferto," and Portugal's "Rosa," leveraging historical advantages in viewer recall and televote momentum, while later acts including Finland's "Liekinheitin," Israel's "Michelle," and Poland's "Pray" face tougher paths amid a stacked first half. Germany and Italy vote as Big Five performers. With national finals wrapped and songs polished, focus shifts to upcoming first rehearsals in late April, staging reveals, and jury previews that could swing qualification for the top 10 spots amid public-jury divides and diaspora voting dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽
$415,525 交易量
2026-05-12
芬蘭
98%
瑞典
95%
希臘
94%
以色列
92%
摩爾多瓦
84%
塞爾維亞
77%
克羅埃西亞
76%
立陶宛
69%
波蘭
54%
格魯吉亞
50%
黑山
49%
比利時
48%
葡萄牙
32%
愛沙尼亞
24%
聖馬利諾
13%
$415,525 交易量
芬蘭
$328,585 交易量
98%
瑞典
$1,468 交易量
95%
希臘
$4,030 交易量
94%
以色列
$19,555 交易量
92%
摩爾多瓦
$1,434 交易量
84%
塞爾維亞
$1,452 交易量
77%
克羅埃西亞
$3,605 交易量
76%
立陶宛
$2,591 交易量
69%
波蘭
$7,240 交易量
54%
格魯吉亞
$166 交易量
50%
黑山
$1,414 交易量
49%
比利時
$6,233 交易量
48%
葡萄牙
$30,880 交易量
32%
愛沙尼亞
$1,748 交易量
24%
聖馬利諾
$5,122 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The running order reveal for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final, unveiled yesterday by organizers in Vienna, has reshaped trader consensus on qualifiers from the May 12 showdown at Wiener Stadthalle. Early slots favor frontrunners like Moldova's upbeat opener "Viva, Moldova!", Sweden's "My System," Croatia's "Andromeda," Greece's "Ferto," and Portugal's "Rosa," leveraging historical advantages in viewer recall and televote momentum, while later acts including Finland's "Liekinheitin," Israel's "Michelle," and Poland's "Pray" face tougher paths amid a stacked first half. Germany and Italy vote as Big Five performers. With national finals wrapped and songs polished, focus shifts to upcoming first rehearsals in late April, staging reveals, and jury previews that could swing qualification for the top 10 spots amid public-jury divides and diaspora voting dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間： Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$415,525結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The running order reveal for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final, unveiled yesterday by organizers in Vienna, has reshaped trader consensus on qualifiers from the May 12 showdown at Wiener Stadthalle. Early slots favor frontrunners like Moldova's upbeat opener "Viva, Moldova!", Sweden's "My System," Croatia's "Andromeda," Greece's "Ferto," and Portugal's "Rosa," leveraging historical advantages in viewer recall and televote momentum, while later acts including Finland's "Liekinheitin," Israel's "Michelle," and Poland's "Pray" face tougher paths amid a stacked first half. Germany and Italy vote as Big Five performers. With national finals wrapped and songs polished, focus shifts to upcoming first rehearsals in late April, staging reveals, and jury previews that could swing qualification for the top 10 spots amid public-jury divides and diaspora voting dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$415,525結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The running order reveal for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final, unveiled yesterday by organizers in Vienna, has reshaped trader consensus on qualifiers from the May 12 showdown at Wiener Stadthalle. Early slots favor frontrunners like Moldova's upbeat opener "Viva, Moldova!", Sweden's "My System," Croatia's "Andromeda," Greece's "Ferto," and Portugal's "Rosa," leveraging historical advantages in viewer recall and televote momentum, while later acts including Finland's "Liekinheitin," Israel's "Michelle," and Poland's "Pray" face tougher paths amid a stacked first half. Germany and Italy vote as Big Five performers. With national finals wrapped and songs polished, focus shifts to upcoming first rehearsals in late April, staging reveals, and jury previews that could swing qualification for the top 10 spots amid public-jury divides and diaspora voting dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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