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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽

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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽

$359,262 交易量

May 12, 2026
Polymarket

$359,262 交易量

Polymarket
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瑞典

$1,111 交易量

98%

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芬蘭

$325,511 交易量

95%

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希臘

$0 交易量

95%

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以色列

$19,470 交易量

88%

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克羅埃西亞

$2,220 交易量

84%

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摩爾多瓦

$0 交易量

82%

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立陶宛

$2,148 交易量

70%

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塞爾維亞

$816 交易量

69%

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黑山

$1,331 交易量

55%

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比利時

$0 交易量

50%

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波蘭

$0 交易量

56%

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格魯吉亞

$166 交易量

47%

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葡萄牙

$0 交易量

32%

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愛沙尼亞

$1,442 交易量

21%

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聖馬利諾

$5,045 交易量

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As national selections for Eurovision 2026 conclude, trader consensus in prediction markets strongly backs frontrunners Sweden (Felicia's "My System"), Finland ("Liekinheitin" by Linda), and Greece ("Ferto" by Akylas) to qualify from the First Semi-Final on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 10 of 15 entrants—including Croatia ("Andromeda"), Portugal ("Rosa"), Moldova ("Viva Moldova!"), Georgia ("Play Back"), and Israel—vie for Grand Final spots with Germany and Italy voting. Mid-March updates from models like The Model elevated Sweden to Semi-Final 1 lead amid positive previews and streaming buzz, while fan-predicted running orders highlight position risks. The official allocation reveal on April 2 looms as a key catalyst, given historical voting swings from slot dynamics and televote surges.

As national selections for Eurovision 2026 conclude, trader consensus in prediction markets strongly backs frontrunners Sweden (Felicia's "My System"), Finland ("Liekinheitin" by Linda), and Greece ("Ferto" by Akylas) to qualify from the First Semi-Final on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 10 of 15 entrants—including Croatia ("Andromeda"), Portugal ("Rosa"), Moldova ("Viva Moldova!"), Georgia ("Play Back"), and Israel—vie for Grand Final spots with Germany and Italy voting. Mid-March updates from models like The Model elevated Sweden to Semi-Final 1 lead amid positive previews and streaming buzz, while fan-predicted running orders highlight position risks. The official allocation reveal on April 2 looms as a key catalyst, given historical voting swings from slot dynamics and televote surges.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As national selections for Eurovision 2026 conclude, trader consensus in prediction markets strongly backs frontrunners Sweden (Felicia's "My System"), Finland ("Liekinheitin" by Linda), and Greece ("Ferto" by Akylas) to qualify from the First Semi-Final on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 10 of 15 entrants—including Croatia ("Andromeda"), Portugal ("Rosa"), Moldova ("Viva Moldova!"), Georgia ("Play Back"), and Israel—vie for Grand Final spots with Germany and Italy voting. Mid-March updates from models like The Model elevated Sweden to Semi-Final 1 lead amid positive previews and streaming buzz, while fan-predicted running orders highlight position risks. The official allocation reveal on April 2 looms as a key catalyst, given historical voting swings from slot dynamics and televote surges.

As national selections for Eurovision 2026 conclude, trader consensus in prediction markets strongly backs frontrunners Sweden (Felicia's "My System"), Finland ("Liekinheitin" by Linda), and Greece ("Ferto" by Akylas) to qualify from the First Semi-Final on May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 10 of 15 entrants—including Croatia ("Andromeda"), Portugal ("Rosa"), Moldova ("Viva Moldova!"), Georgia ("Play Back"), and Israel—vie for Grand Final spots with Germany and Italy voting. Mid-March updates from models like The Model elevated Sweden to Semi-Final 1 lead amid positive previews and streaming buzz, while fan-predicted running orders highlight position risks. The official allocation reveal on April 2 looms as a key catalyst, given historical voting swings from slot dynamics and televote surges.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "瑞典" at 98%, followed by "芬蘭" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽" has generated $359.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽" is "瑞典" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "芬蘭" at 95%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.