Market icon

2026年金球獎得主

Market icon

2026年金球獎得主

哈里·凱恩 26.9%

拉明·亞馬爾 24%

基利安·姆巴佩 23%

維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾 6.3%

Polymarket

$1,597,712 交易量

哈里·凱恩 26.9%

拉明·亞馬爾 24%

基利安·姆巴佩 23%

維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾 6.3%

Polymarket

$1,597,712 交易量

哈里·凱恩

$466,884 交易量

27%

拉明·亞馬爾

$34,325 交易量

24%

基利安·姆巴佩

$62,796 交易量

23%

維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾

$283,902 交易量

6%

佩德里

$177,177 交易量

4%

科爾·帕爾默

$0 交易量

3%

裘德·貝林漢

$175,015 交易量

2%

奧斯曼·登貝萊

$178,447 交易量

2%

厄林·哈蘭德

$219,167 交易量

2%

穆罕默德·薩拉赫

$0 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Trader consensus prices Harry Kane at 27%, Lamine Yamal at 24%, and Kylian Mbappé at 23% for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, capturing a tight three-way battle amid the long runway through the 2024/25 and 2025/26 campaigns plus the World Cup. Yamal's Euro 2024 breakout—youngest-ever goalscorer in a major tournament final as Spain claimed the title—has traders viewing his Barcelona trajectory optimistically, boosted by an opening La Liga assist. Mbappé's summer switch to Real Madrid positions him for Champions League and La Liga contention alongside Vinícius Júnior and Bellingham, despite a subdued debut draw. Kane leads via consistent Bundesliga scoring at Bayern Munich, where early-season form sustains his goal-per-game threat, though England's trophy drought lingers as a WC qualifier factor.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$1,597,712
結束日期
Oct 31, 2026
市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Trader consensus prices Harry Kane at 27%, Lamine Yamal at 24%, and Kylian Mbappé at 23% for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, capturing a tight three-way battle amid the long runway through the 2024/25 and 2025/26 campaigns plus the World Cup. Yamal's Euro 2024 breakout—youngest-ever goalscorer in a major tournament final as Spain claimed the title—has traders viewing his Barcelona trajectory optimistically, boosted by an opening La Liga assist. Mbappé's summer switch to Real Madrid positions him for Champions League and La Liga contention alongside Vinícius Júnior and Bellingham, despite a subdued debut draw. Kane leads via consistent Bundesliga scoring at Bayern Munich, where early-season form sustains his goal-per-game threat, though England's trophy drought lingers as a WC qualifier factor.

Trader consensus prices Harry Kane at 27%, Lamine Yamal at 24%, and Kylian Mbappé at 23% for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, capturing a tight three-way battle amid the long runway through the 2024/25 and 2025/26 campaigns plus the World Cup. Yamal's Euro 2024 breakout—youngest-ever goalscorer in a major tournament final as Spain claimed the title—has traders viewing his Barcelona trajectory optimistically, boosted by an opening La Liga assist. Mbappé's summer switch to Real Madrid positions him for Champions League and La Liga contention alongside Vinícius Júnior and Bellingham, despite a subdued debut draw. Kane leads via consistent Bundesliga scoring at Bayern Munich, where early-season form sustains his goal-per-game threat, though England's trophy drought lingers as a WC qualifier factor.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年金球獎得主" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "哈里·凱恩" at 27%, followed by "拉明·亞馬爾" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年金球獎得主" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年金球獎得主," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年金球獎得主" is "哈里·凱恩" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "拉明·亞馬爾" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年金球獎得主" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.